Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal

[Xing]

A few rurals in NV just came in, looks like a net gain of about 750 votes for the Republicans. Lower turnout in some (Douglas went from 1,424 to 1,002), roughly the same in others (Nye: 942 -> 972.) Turnout looks to be high again in Clark today, so Democrats might be able to pad to their margin if they get a strong showing there and in Washoe.

[KingSweden]

A few rurals in NV just came in, looks like a net gain of about 750 votes for the Republicans. Lower turnout in some (Douglas went from 1,424 to 1,002), roughly the same in others (Nye: 942 -> 972.) Turnout looks to be high again in Clark today, so Democrats might be able to pad to their margin if they get a strong showing there and in Washoe.

They need Douglas to do well since it’s larger than many of the other rurals

[Xing]

A few rurals in NV just came in, looks like a net gain of about 750 votes for the Republicans. Lower turnout in some (Douglas went from 1,424 to 1,002), roughly the same in others (Nye: 942 -> 972.) Turnout looks to be high again in Clark today, so Democrats might be able to pad to their margin if they get a strong showing there and in Washoe.

They need Douglas to do well since it’s larger than many of the other rurals

Yeah, the good news for Democrats is that Lyon is likely the only remaining county where Republicans could reduce the margin quite a bit more. Most of the other rural counties are too small, and their edge in Carson City (right now, at least) is too narrow. If Democrats do well in Washoe and Clark, they'll have a much better day today than yesterday.

[ON Progressive]

Washoe came in.

GOP gets their first day won when you include the absentee/mail-in ballots. 42-40 margin. That's about in line with their registration margin in Washoe.

Democrats lead by 4 overall in Washoe through the first three days.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Okay Dean is going to win. Rural areas are on fire and Dems are not counter punching

[Gass3268]

Okay Dean is going to win. Rural areas are on fire and Dems are not counter punching

Should just stop the voting right now and call it.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Nevada is the one state where you can draw early conclusions from EV and it’s not good. For god sakes Heller should be getting blanched for his record and the state he’s in

[ON Progressive]

Okay Dean is going to win. Rural areas are on fire and Dems are not counter punching

What the hell are you talking about? Clark is going to have north of 20k turnout for the fourth straight day.

[Ebsy]

Democrats won Washoe again, no idea what ON Progressive is talking about, nor do I have any idea why this merits a freakout.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Okay Dean is going to win. Rural areas are on fire and Dems are not counter punching

What the hell are you talking about? Clark is going to have north of 20k turnout for the fourth straight day.

An Dems are not winning there as big as they should. This has been fours days now of the same trend

[ON Progressive]

Democrats won Washoe again, no idea what ON Progressive is talking about.

I'm including mail in/absentee ballots. Democrats won the Washoe in-person vote, but when you include absentees, Republicans win.

[KingSweden]

Okay Dean is going to win. Rural areas are on fire and Dems are not counter punching

What the hell are you talking about? Clark is going to have north of 20k turnout for the fourth straight day.

An Dems are not winning there as big as they should. This has been fours days now of the same trend

I don’t think we have today’s Clark results yet?

[Ebsy]

Republicans always have an edge in mail in ballots in Nevada, so this is not exactly news. Ralston always scaremongers about the NV early vote, all the way through. Democrats are performing exactly where they need to be to win.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Okay Dean is going to win. Rural areas are on fire and Dems are not counter punching

What the hell are you talking about? Clark is going to have north of 20k turnout for the fourth straight day.

An Dems are not winning there as big as they should. This has been fours days now of the same trend

I don’t think we have today’s Clark results yet?

No and if they murder today I’ll gladly eat crow but there is no sign they will

[Gass3268]

Republicans always have an edge in mail in ballots in Nevada, so this is not exactly news. Ralston always scaremongers about the NV early vote, all the way through. Democrats are performing exactly where they need to be to win.

First weekend - Democrats are turning out in droves!
First week - Not looking good for Democrats!
Second weekend - Huge surge for Democrats!
Second week - Republicans are making a comeback!
Third weekend - Democrats have probably won.

[Ebsy]

Okay Dean is going to win. Rural areas are on fire and Dems are not counter punching

What the hell are you talking about? Clark is going to have north of 20k turnout for the fourth straight day.

An Dems are not winning there as big as they should. This has been fours days now of the same trend

I don’t think we have today’s Clark results yet?

No and if they murder today I’ll gladly eat crow but there is no sign they will

Why are you looking for signs of data that hasn't even been released yet? Don't you have anything better to do?

[Ebsy]

First weekend - Democrats are turning out in droves!
First week - Not looking good for Democrats!
Second weekend - Huge surge for Democrats!
Second week - Republicans are making a comeback!
Third weekend - Democrats have probably won.

Hahahahahaha

Hit the nail right on the head.

[Xing]

I'll concede that the first four days (assuming Clark is still about a 7-point win for Democrats, probably not a safe assumption) have not been great for Democrats in Nevada, but calling the race for Heller right now is definitely premature.

[Hindsight was 2020]

First weekend - Democrats are turning out in droves!
First week - Not looking good for Democrats!
Second weekend - Huge surge for Democrats!
Second week - Republicans are making a comeback!
Third weekend - Democrats have probably won.

Hahahahahaha

Hit the nail right on the head.

I don’t remember Ralston being concerned about Hillary in the slightest during EV in Nevada

[MT Treasurer]

Hindsight is pessimistic about a Democratic candidate's chances? Now I’ve seen it all.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hacks like Ralston are why no one trusts the media any more.

[Ebsy]

First weekend - Democrats are turning out in droves!
First week - Not looking good for Democrats!
Second weekend - Huge surge for Democrats!
Second week - Republicans are making a comeback!
Third weekend - Democrats have probably won.

Hahahahahaha

Hit the nail right on the head.

I don’t remember Ralston being concerned about Hillary in the slightest during EV in Nevada

Well you don't have a very good memory then.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hopefully we get more of these so that the GOP knows to stay home

https://twitter.com/DrTurleyTalks/status/1054858033359151107

[Zaybay]

Hopefully we get more of these so that the GOP knows to stay home

https://twitter.com/DrTurleyTalks/status/1054858033359151107

He wrote that tweet 4 times.....

[Hindsight was 2020]

Hindsight is pessimistic about a Democratic candidate's chances? Now I’ve seen it all.

Hey I was never big on the Beto train