WV-MetroNews: Sanders +4, Trump +32

[Alcon]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

Why do you think that would be so surprising?  Hasn't Kentucky been fairly consistently more favorable to Sanders in both polling and demographic analyses?

[Alcon]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

Why do you think that would be so surprising?  Hasn't Kentucky been fairly consistently trump gave more favorable to Sanders in both polling and demographic analyses?trump gave

Kentucky is almost as bad as NY in that non Democrats had to change to being a Democrat last year in order to vote in the primary. California independents can vote Democratic but not Republican, and those registered in another party still have 17 days to change. Also, neighboring counties of KY aren't promising,

OK, but you do realize that the vast majority of people participating in Democratic primaries are long-time registered voters?  It's not like the primary results have mainly been a function of registration laws.  And I agree that neighboring counties in Kentucky are not promising.  But polling results and demographics in California aren't promising, either.

[Alcon]

Sanders will win remaining states except Puerto Rico, DC, Jersey, NM & CA

LOL at the idea that Bernie would win KY and lose CA.
Or the idea that he'd win the Virgin Islands and lose Puerto Rico.

Why do you think that would be so surprising?  Hasn't Kentucky been fairly consistently trump gave more favorable to Sanders in both polling and demographic analyses?trump gave

Kentucky is almost as bad as NY in that non Democrats had to change to being a Democrat last year in order to vote in the primary. California independents can vote Democratic but not Republican, and those registered in another party still have 17 days to change. Also, neighboring counties of KY aren't promising,

OK, but you do realize that the vast majority of people participating in Democratic primaries are long-time registered voters?  It's not like the primary results have mainly been a function of registration laws.

There definitely is a correlation between ability for new democrats/independents to vote and how well Sanders does, given that, outside of the south, he always wins new D's and independents by wide margins.

Yeah, that's not at odds with what I'm saying.  I'm not saying it's not a factor; I'm saying it's not the primary factor.  Also, I was arguing that recently-registered or recently-changed voters aren't a particularly big part of the electorate.