State legislatures 2016

[Nyvin]

The NH House is definitely not "Lean R" it's pure tossup like always.   It follows the national/state swing almost precisely every election.    The current size of the Republican majority is pretty meaningless, just like it was for Democrats in 2014.   You don't need a "Democratic wave" like the article says, you just need the state to vote 50%+ Democratic.  

Gerrymandering doesn't accomplish much for the NH House.

[Nyvin]

There is a moderate chance that the Hawaii Senate will be completely made up of Democrats after the elections. Sam Slom is pretty vulnerable, apparently.

I thought there was a chance he'll retire because of the bypass surgery,  and the fact he's 74 years old.