FL-PPP: Trump +1 (4-way), Clinton +1 (2-way) (user search)
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  FL-PPP: Trump +1 (4-way), Clinton +1 (2-way) (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-PPP: Trump +1 (4-way), Clinton +1 (2-way)  (Read 3944 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
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« on: September 07, 2016, 09:51:43 AM »
Unskew this sh**t NOW!
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2016, 09:53:15 AM »
Favorables

Clinton 40/53
Trump 42/52

Smiley
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2016, 09:53:38 AM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 07, 2016, 09:52:24 AM
Not great, but it's pretty much in line with the other results.
CNN? Smiley
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2016, 10:02:46 AM »
Quote from: Gustaf on September 07, 2016, 09:54:26 AM
Florida was R+4 in 2012 so this is consistent with a Clinton lead of 3% nationally.
No, it wasn't.

BUT, even if it was, you can't just compare like this, because of higher share of Hispanics in Florida (24 vs 12 nationally). Am I right?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #4 on: September 07, 2016, 10:03:07 AM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 07, 2016, 09:58:54 AM
A tie is still pathetic for her considering that she's basically destroying and demonizing Trump on the airwaves and outspending him 10-1.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #5 on: September 07, 2016, 10:06:51 AM »
Quote from: Fusionmunster on September 07, 2016, 10:03:44 AM
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 07, 2016, 09:58:54 AM
A tie is still pathetic for her considering that she's basically destroying and demonizing Trump on the airwaves and outspending him 10-1.

Considering Trump gets free exposure for literally saying anything while the only thing Hillary can seem to do to make news is caugh or emails, yeah its pathetic.
But Hillary in her ads just repeats what Trump's been saying. So the fact that Trump gets free exposure for literally saying anything should help Clinton, shouldn't it?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #6 on: September 07, 2016, 10:24:42 AM »
Quote from: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on September 07, 2016, 10:20:24 AM
Trump is not winning FL. PPP has a Republican-bias.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #7 on: September 07, 2016, 10:29:45 AM »
Quote from: Virginia on September 07, 2016, 10:26:52 AM
If she just wasn't corrupt, she'd be winning in landslide.
Agree!
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #8 on: September 07, 2016, 10:32:14 AM »
Just summed up what you was saying, bro Smiley
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #9 on: September 07, 2016, 10:42:04 AM »
Quote from: Fusionmunster on September 07, 2016, 10:38:15 AM
Quote from: Virginia on September 07, 2016, 10:34:47 AM

That would be a decent summary if I actually thought the emails/foundation "scandals" meant she was corrupt, which I don't.

Just put him on ignore like most of us do.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #10 on: September 07, 2016, 03:43:45 PM »
Thanks! I was little bit afraid, that nobody would unskew it! Thank you very much, Senator Scott! Smiley
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #11 on: September 07, 2016, 04:13:26 PM »
Quote from: Left on September 07, 2016, 03:46:29 PM

He isn't unskewing, he's just calling it junk. He's not coming up with any new numbers, so it's not unskewing.

Yuuuuuuuge difference Cry
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #12 on: September 07, 2016, 05:48:09 PM »
Quote from: Senator Scott on September 07, 2016, 05:33:37 PM
It's ten times better than any #analysis you've provided here, friend.
I haven't. I believe in poll average, even though I have my gut feeling whispering me that there is a YUUUGE Shy Trump effect. But I don't try to unskew polls to match my gut feelings Smiley

One can also weight and adjust according to "history performance", if one wants to Smiley

That's why I like 538 Smiley

But I don't believe much "leaked" internals. That's' true!
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