PA-10 (DFM Research): Biden +2
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Author Topic: PA-10 (DFM Research): Biden +2  (Read 661 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: August 12, 2020, 08:28:01 AM »
PA-10: DFM Research, Aug. 6-9, 384 LV

Biden 48
Trump 46
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Person Man
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« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2020, 08:37:33 AM »
I'm guessing this is like a 8 point overperformance?
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Nyvin
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« Reply #2 on: August 12, 2020, 08:39:57 AM »

Trump won here by 9% so around an 11% improvement from 2016
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2020, 08:44:55 AM »
Yes, according to Nate Cohn, Trump won the current 10th by 9 and Romney won it by 7.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2020, 08:50:59 AM »
Harrisburg? Surprised it isn't an even bigger swing.
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VAR
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« Reply #5 on: August 12, 2020, 08:57:54 AM »
Favorabilities

Trump 47/52
Casey 41/40
Toomey 31/49
Perry 40/37
Wolf 52/45
DePasquale 38/16
Biden 48/50
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #6 on: August 12, 2020, 09:02:15 AM »
Quote from: VARepublican on August 12, 2020, 08:57:54 AM
Favorabilities

Trump 47/52
Casey 41/40
Toomey 31/49
Perry 40/37
Wolf 52/45
DePasquale 38/16
Biden 48/50

LOL Toomey.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #7 on: August 12, 2020, 09:08:17 AM »
Quote from: Nyvin on August 12, 2020, 08:39:57 AM

Trump won here by 9% so around an 11% improvement from 2016

yep, almost all of the congressional polls we've gotten out of PA show Biden running at least 10% ahead of Hillary's 2016 margins. That's why it's not surprising to me that most high quality Pennsylvania polls are showing Biden up about 7-9.
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andjey
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« Reply #8 on: August 12, 2020, 09:10:10 AM »
How did Bob Casey and Tom Wolf do here in 2018?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #9 on: August 12, 2020, 09:18:42 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on August 12, 2020, 09:02:15 AM
Quote from: VARepublican on August 12, 2020, 08:57:54 AM
Favorabilities

Trump 47/52
Casey 41/40
Toomey 31/49
Perry 40/37
Wolf 52/45
DePasquale 38/16
Biden 48/50

LOL Toomey.

It blows my mind why we get thinkpieces about him running for Governor. He is *not* popular in PA. I mean, I guess at this point Rs bench is horrific in PA so maybe he's the *best* shot they have, but that's not saying a lot
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Pheurton Skeurto
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« Reply #10 on: August 12, 2020, 09:20:22 AM »
Wow, those Wolf favorables look great! Great showing for DePasquale in the Congressional race as well. This will be a nice district to pay attention to as a bellwether for PA.


Quote from: АndriуValeriovich on August 12, 2020, 09:10:10 AM
How did Bob Casey and Tom Wolf do here in 2018?

Wolf won the district by 10%, Casey won it by 2%
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #11 on: August 12, 2020, 09:27:32 AM »
Quote from: АndriуValeriovich on August 12, 2020, 09:10:10 AM
How did Bob Casey and Tom Wolf do here in 2018?

Casey won 50-48, Wolf won 54-44.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #12 on: August 12, 2020, 09:29:59 AM »
I know that DFM Research is a dem pollster, but is this a dem poll?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: August 12, 2020, 09:33:25 AM »

Continues the trend of Biden doing close to Casey #s in most of these polls as well
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #14 on: August 12, 2020, 09:39:14 AM »
Quote from: Bidenworth2020 on August 12, 2020, 09:29:59 AM
I know that DFM Research is a dem pollster, but is this a dem poll?

I don't think so.  It seems to be focused on railroads.
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