Pakistan General Elections: Feb. 8

[omar04]

Shehbaz Sharif is also in a close race, about 2 thousand votes ahead of an independent.

[omar04]

PML(N) is having a very close race in Sheikhpura which is represented by NA-113 through NA-117. They have been mostly popular there in previous elections (PTI won in NA-113 back in 2018).

[omar04]

Capital TV live-stream  count
                                                         
                Leads                                        Won in 2018
Ind-PTI     124                                                 116
PML(N)       54                                                  64
PPP            43                                                  43
Ind.             9
MQM            9 (Left, anti-PTI)

Not clear if PTI can get to a majority of general seats.  There is still some room for the establishment to impose a non-PTI government.  It will be a very difficult and unstable government but if they believe in keeping out Khan enough there are just enough seats to pull something like that off.

Looks like PPP is not doing too well. Zardari posted that PPP and independents were doing well an hour ago https://twitter.com/BBhuttoZardari/status/1755667035860742245

It sounds like he wants to broker a deal with mostly PTI aligned independents.

[omar04]

https://twitter.com/AsfandBhittani/status/1755700390492835904

[omar04]

The ECP started announcing results based on unofficial returns in the past hour. So far, only three KP assembly seats have been declared, all for PTI backed candidates.

[omar04]

Capital TV live-stream  count (264 out of 266 with leads)

PTI continues to add to its majority
                                                         
                Leads                                        Won in 2018
Ind-PTI     139                                                 116
PML(N)       46                                                  64
PPP            48                                                  43
Ind.             6
MQM            5 (Left, anti-PTI)

The PTI gain in seats relative to 2018 is extra impressive when most of the anti-PTI parties had a tactical alliance which means that PTI had to face a consolidation of the anti-PTI vote in most of the seats it was competitive.  PTI seems to have gained extra support beyond 2018 levels to overcome this consolidation of anti-PTI vote.

Are you tabulating this by hand? I can only find a livestream presentation scrolling through each constituency.

[omar04]

A lot of PTI candidates are now complaining about suspicious ECP results flipping PTI leads to PLM(N). One of the most egregious constituencies is NA-55 where the PTI candidate was leading by almost 50 thousand votes.

https://twitter.com/AhmSheikhh/status/1755758195438399550

https://twitter.com/MusaNV18/status/1755755471703544129

[omar04]

https://www.elections.gov.pk/national-assembly

ECP website

IND      
                           99                           

   
PML (N)

                           69                           

PPP      

                           52                           

MQM      

                           15