What would you think the 2020 electoral map be if someone showed you the results of Starr, TX?

[Schiff for Senate]

I would've definitely thought Trump won. I'd have thought NV and NM flipped for sure.

Probably something like this, though I'd consider Biden very narrowly holding NM more likely, since urban Hispanics are distinct from rural Hispanics, and the former group, which are a bigger factor in Democratic wins in NM than the latter, did not swing that much to the right when compared to the latter (unless you look at NYC).