IBD/TIPP Poll: Trump +1/Clinton +3

[Landslide Lyndon]

Jfern's favorite pollster strikes again.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Suddenly some voters prefer Trump in a 4 way, but prefer Clinton in a 2 way? also lol Stein at 6%

4-way
Trump 41.3%
Clinton 40%

2-way
Clinton 43.6%
Trump 40.6%

So Trump gets more votes in 4-way than 2-way?
Whatever...

[Landslide Lyndon]

A minus at 538.

Love those red avatars shouting 'JUNK' whenever a poll result doesn't fit their narrative.

Still, Clinton had some great polls today to counterbalance this one.

IBD does this crap every election. A month or so before the election they release a poll that's a wild outlier to get attention (OBAMA AND MCCAIN TIED!!!) and then a few days before they release a second one that's in line with what all the other pollsters show.
Hence their high rating.

[Landslide Lyndon]

A minus at 538.

Love those red avatars shouting 'JUNK' whenever a poll result doesn't fit their narrative.

Still, Clinton had some great polls today to counterbalance this one.

IBD does this crap every election. A month or so before the election they release a poll that's a wild outlier to get attention (OBAMA AND MCCAIN TIED!!!) and then a few days before they release a second one that's in line with what all the other pollsters show.
Hence their high rating.

Now why would they do that? And you are cherrypicking data. In 2008:

11/1 - 11/3     Obama +8
10/22 - 10/26 Obama +3
10/14 - 10/18 Obama +5
10/7 - 10/13   Obama +3
9/2 - 9/7         Obama +5
8/4 - 8/9         Obama +5
7/7 - 7/11       Obama +3
6/2 - 6/8         Obama +3
5/12 - 5/18     Obama +11
1/2 - 1/4         McCain +12

So, since the start of the actual campaign they had Obama in the lead all the time, only the margin varied. They never had a tie.

Thats not to say they couldnt be wrong now, but they do have a pretty good record.

http://hotair.com/archives/2008/11/02/ibdtipp-obama-2-under-50/

They also had a mid-October poll where they showed Obama just 1 point ahead of McCain.