2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Kansas

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Ad Astra 2 is an objectively bad map. Doesn’t change the partisanship, and makes the lines more confusing for no reason or benefit. Can’t believe this is a hill they’re dying on

? It changes a map that has 1 likely D and 1 likely R to a tilt D and Safe R.

Barely? And it won’t last past 2022. Davis could go down, but the way northeast Kansas is trending it’s not a guarantee and likely would flip back in 2024

edit; after some messing around in Dave’s you can get a solid enough 4-0 map. Does require some octopus arms, but I managed to split only one county

The real way to ensure no Dems is elected is placing Wyandotte in KS-01. But that's a bold step that would be very unlikely to get all the votes it needs to pass an override. Many rural legislators would likely dislike that a lot.

It occurs to me that one could theoretically justify putting Wyandotte into KS-01 with the logic/excuse of making a minority-influence district! You can combine the Hispanic population in Southwest Kansas with that in Kansas City and Topeka into one district.

In this map the 1st would be only 57% white (down from 64% in 2010), and there's a good chance it could become majority-minority by the end of the decade. https://davesredistricting.org/join/9329dff6-da7e-40fa-be98-e29009c8fc41

KS-01: Trump +16 in 2016; Trump +10 in 2020
KS-02: Trump +20 in 2016; Trump +14 in 2020
KS-03: Trump +19 in 2016; Trump +14 in 2020
KS-04: Trump +26 in 2016; Trump +21 in 2020

 

That shows some very out-of-the-box thinking. Good work!
Of course, it would probably be a long-term loss for Republicans, due to the very hostile trends in KS-01.

[BoiseBoy]

KS GOP is going to do whatever they can to fight for this garbage map. Sick people.

https://twitter.com/RuiXuKS/status/1491450327358652418?s=20&t=-eP9JTIBk7hoHP...

[GALeftist]

What a farce. I'd be so ashamed if this was my party.

[Oryxslayer]

Reminder since there will be a vote today that R's can only lose 2 House votes and succeed. 84 votes are needed for an override and they have 86. They did not have this majority last time the vote came up, but some members were out. There are rumors they have the votes, and rumors they don't.

[BoiseBoy]

Reminder since there will be a vote today that R's can only lose 2 House votes and succeed. 84 votes are needed for an override and they have 86. They did not have this majority last time the vote came up, but some members were out. There are rumors they have the votes, and rumors they don't.

Welp, onto the Kansas Supreme Court I guess. A functioning democracy shouldn't have to resort to litigation to achieve fair representation.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Again why?

The CD map don’t even help you that much, just gives you a viable shot at a short term KS-03 rental. This is pure desperation

[BoiseBoy]

House is voting now over the veto.

[ProgressiveModerate]

House is voting now over the veto.

Pls update a results i at school rn lol

[BoiseBoy]

House is voting now over the veto.

Pls update a results i at school rn lol

There are some members not present, so it looks like we're going to have a repeat of the situation in the Senate from a few days ago.

Currently YES votes are at 80 out of 84 needed to override.

[Oryxslayer]

House is voting now over the veto.

Pls update a results i at school rn lol

There are some members not present, so it looks like we're going to have a repeat of the situation in the Senate from a few days ago.

Currently YES votes are at 80 out of 84 needed to override.

I think that means there are not the votes?

https://twitter.com/KatieJ_Bernard/status/1491472998947295232?s=20&t=hW1YyKl...

[BoiseBoy]

Vote is at 80-38. 3 are absent, one member has voted present.

[BoiseBoy]

Vote is now 81-38 (the one who voted present, Rep. Seiwert, changed his vote to a yes).

Reps Jacob and Lee have returned. Hoffman has not yet.

[BoiseBoy]

Votes now at 82-39 (Hoffman is the only one who has not cast a vote yet).

[BoiseBoy]

Vote now at 81-40. Rep Rhiley changed his vote from a yes to a no.

[BoiseBoy]

Now back at 82-39, Rep. Baker switched to a YES.

[Schiff for Senate]

This has to be the most dramatic redistricting of any state so far. Stakes are super-high...and as others have said, for what? Maybe they flip KS03 in 2022 but trends will catch up very soon, especially given that I believe KS03 is still a Biden seat that's trending sharply leftwards.

Anyway, this is definitely worth watching and I'd like to thank BoiseBoy for giving us regular updates.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/KatieJ_Bernard/status/1491484793267175424?s=20&t=HtbzIhP...

So something has to give for there to be a 84th.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/KatieJ_Bernard/status/1491481788417552386

PIZZA BRIBE.

https://twitter.com/KatieJ_Bernard/status/1491485805147262976

[Minnesota Mike]

After all this drama Davids probably still wins.

[lfromnj]

Ad Astra 2 is an objectively bad map. Doesn’t change the partisanship, and makes the lines more confusing for no reason or benefit. Can’t believe this is a hill they’re dying on

? It changes a map that has 1 likely D and 1 likely R to a tilt D and Safe R.

Barely? And it won’t last past 2022. Davis could go down, but the way northeast Kansas is trending it’s not a guarantee and likely would flip back in 2024

edit; after some messing around in Dave’s you can get a solid enough 4-0 map. Does require some octopus arms, but I managed to split only one county

The real way to ensure no Dems is elected is placing Wyandotte in KS-01. But that's a bold step that would be very unlikely to get all the votes it needs to pass an override. Many rural legislators would likely dislike that a lot.

It occurs to me that one could theoretically justify putting Wyandotte into KS-01 with the logic/excuse of making a minority-influence district! You can combine the Hispanic population in Southwest Kansas with that in Kansas City and Topeka into one district.

In this map the 1st would be only 57% white (down from 64% in 2010), and there's a good chance it could become majority-minority by the end of the decade. https://davesredistricting.org/join/9329dff6-da7e-40fa-be98-e29009c8fc41

KS-01: Trump +16 in 2016; Trump +10 in 2020
KS-02: Trump +20 in 2016; Trump +14 in 2020
KS-03: Trump +19 in 2016; Trump +14 in 2020
KS-04: Trump +26 in 2016; Trump +21 in 2020

 

The 1st district is a very important district due to how basically every kansas senator for decades has come from it as a congressman.  So you basically destroyed it, which makes any aspirational legislators mad. Now a logical clean 3-0-1 map would likely just be the 1st jumps into take Wyandotte county. However what they instead did was have the 1st take in Lawrence which has the same number of net votes as Wyandotte but is way smaller. Therefore this allows more of the 1st district to stay intact while still taking similar amount of net Democratic voters such that the 2nd can now be used to help make the 3rd district more R.

[BoiseBoy]

I hope this map gets litigated. It deserves to suffer the fate of OH and NC. KS GOP is one of the most idiotic, spineless state parties in existence.

Thank god for the KS Supreme Court.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/KatieJ_Bernard/status/1491486879597875200

Oh they actually got 85 .

[Gass3268]

I look forward to the Kansas Supreme Court striking down this map.

[Oryxslayer]

Surprised they cleared the hurdle.

[GALeftist]

To the courts!