Garbage poll with so many undecided. Only confirms that American's aren't hot about either candidate now, with DeSantis not having universal name rec.
Trump and DeSantis would get at least 45% no matter what, Biden gets >48% no matter what.
Pretty much. In a totally neutral year, the Democrat would beat the Republican in the NPV by 51-48. I think Michigan would be won relatively easily, Georgia and Arizona would narrowly flip, and Wisconsin and Pennsylvania would decide it. At this rate, maybe it would be the other way around or stay that way if Trump isn't up there and the new guy isn't that compelling. OTOH, Romney showed that even with someone who has zero charisma with non-traditional Republicans and ultimately lost by about double the margin he was expected to, he still did very well with Clinton-Bush and Kerry-McCain voters. Charisma can start trends but the lack thereof can't slow them down.
The Democratic trend in AZ and GA would lead those states to voting Democratic in a 51-48 win. AZ and GA will vote to the left of WI and PA in 2024.
