The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 16, 2024, 03:25:30 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 77 78 79 80 81 [82] 83 84 85 86 87 ... 98
Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 146949 times)
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2025 on: August 10, 2014, 12:01:16 AM »
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,719


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2026 on: August 10, 2014, 12:03:25 AM »
Abercrombie spokesman on Hawaii News Now saying we'll have to wait until the next printout.  Yeah, right.
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2027 on: August 10, 2014, 12:04:43 AM »
Quote from: cinyc on August 10, 2014, 12:03:25 AM
Abercrombie spokesman on Hawaii News Now saying we'll have to wait until the next printout.  Yeah, right.

That chick? Yeah........

Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2028 on: August 10, 2014, 12:05:47 AM »
Republican Senator: Cavasso leading Roco 72-13
Republican Governor: Aiona leading Gregory 97-1
Republican District 1: Djou leading Levene 97-3
Republican District 2: Crowley leading Capelouto 53-47


Nothing has been called just yet. Nothing in at all for Lt. Gov. or Mayor
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2029 on: August 10, 2014, 12:06:26 AM »
If Ige's lead holds, I don't think Hanabusa should really lose that much ground.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2030 on: August 10, 2014, 12:07:48 AM »
And AOS calls the governor's race for Ige, who is leading Abercrombie 67-32 with 38% of the predicted turnout reporting!

Wow, that was quick.
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2031 on: August 10, 2014, 12:08:00 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on August 10, 2014, 12:05:47 AM
Nothing in at all for Lt. Gov. or Mayor




AP is reporting:

Tsutsui, Shan (i)   Dem   45,117   54%
Hee, Clayton   Dem   29,741   36%
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2032 on: August 10, 2014, 12:08:22 AM »
Quote from: Never on August 10, 2014, 12:06:26 AM
If Ige's lead holds, I don't think Hanabusa should really lose that much ground.

Yeah:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,719


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2033 on: August 10, 2014, 12:09:44 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on August 10, 2014, 12:05:47 AM
Nothing has been called just yet. Nothing in at all for Lt. Gov. or Mayor

We don't even have a county-by-county breakdown - or any election day results, just early and absentee votes.  There's probably not enough data to call anything.  Though I think it's safe to say we can stick a fork in Abercrombie.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2034 on: August 10, 2014, 12:12:08 AM »
Republican Lt. Gov.: Ahu leading Sutton 70-30

"We're not down 18 points, it's a very close race" - Abercrombie spokesman, earlier tonight

Uh, not so much....
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2035 on: August 10, 2014, 12:12:57 AM »
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

^ She definitely has the edge.
Logged
Morning in Atlas
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,170
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2036 on: August 10, 2014, 12:17:34 AM »
Ugh. Thankfully Takai seems to be leading in the only primary where ideology actually matters.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2037 on: August 10, 2014, 12:17:45 AM »
Okay, first AP calls of the night - Djou wins the HI-01 GOP primary 97-3 over Levene, Aiona wins the republican governor primary 97-1 over Gregory, and Cavasso wins the Republican Senate Primary 72-13 over Roco! No suprises there.

The disadvantage of Hawaii's reporting system is the AP can't tell us what % of the precincts are in or even which precincts are in, so we just have to work off the statewide margins and some guesswork to know how races are going to go.
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,719


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2038 on: August 10, 2014, 12:19:13 AM »
Schatz spokesman on Hawaii News Now is claiming that Hanbusa's voters are early voters and his voters are more likely to vote on election day.  That, of course, remains to be seen.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2039 on: August 10, 2014, 12:20:06 AM »
And the AP calls the HI-01 Dem Primary for Takai, who is leading Kim 45-27!
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,719


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2040 on: August 10, 2014, 12:21:18 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on August 10, 2014, 12:17:45 AM
The disadvantage of Hawaii's reporting system is the AP can't tell us what % of the precincts are in or even which precincts are in, so we just have to work off the statewide margins and some guesswork to know how races are going to go.

It is very likely that ALL of the vote is mail-in absentee and walk-in early vote and none of the vote is election day precinct.  So 0% reporting would be accurate.  AOSHQDD somehow got a county-by-county breakdown.  I haven't seen it on the AP's site.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2041 on: August 10, 2014, 12:23:17 AM »
DailyKos says next printout will be at 8:00 p.m. Hawaii time, 2:00 a.m. Eastern.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2042 on: August 10, 2014, 12:25:35 AM »
Ige leads Abercrombie right now 67-31. Wow.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2043 on: August 10, 2014, 12:26:30 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on August 10, 2014, 12:20:06 AM
And the AP calls the HI-01 Dem Primary for Takai, who is leading Kim 45-27!



Splendid news!!
Logged
Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2044 on: August 10, 2014, 12:28:31 AM »
I don't think any of us were expecting Ige to lead by this much this early on.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2045 on: August 10, 2014, 12:28:59 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on August 10, 2014, 12:20:06 AM
And the AP calls the HI-01 Dem Primary for Takai, who is leading Kim 45-27!

Yay! So long DINO Mercado Kim!
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2046 on: August 10, 2014, 12:29:59 AM »
Hanabusa 50.3%, Schatz 48% per Politico.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2047 on: August 10, 2014, 12:30:51 AM »
The AP is entering some county-level returns now, per Politico:

Honolulu (1.3% in): Hanabusa 49.2-49.1
Kuwai (12.5% in): Hanabusa 54-44

So far, we don't have any county level returns for the other two counties or the governor's race, which remains uncalled on the AP.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,809


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2048 on: August 10, 2014, 12:31:05 AM »
Still crappy.

Gov: Incumbent progressive loses badly
HI-01: Good that the total DINO didn't get it
HI-02: Conservadem renominated easily
Senator: Progressive down 2 points
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2049 on: August 10, 2014, 12:32:32 AM »
We'll have to see how the second printout turns out. Hopefully it is out at 2:00 AM EST.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 77 78 79 80 81 [82] 83 84 85 86 87 ... 98  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 11 queries.