2020 Texas Redistricting thread (user search)
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  2020 Texas Redistricting thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Texas Redistricting thread  (Read 58801 times)
Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« on: April 26, 2021, 09:40:32 PM »
Any chance the republicans don't draw an Austin Sink, maybe hoping for a post-trump suburban trend reversion ?
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2021, 10:49:31 PM »
Quote from: Stuart98 on April 26, 2021, 10:28:24 PM
Quote from: Liberal Hack on April 26, 2021, 09:40:32 PM
Any chance the republicans don't draw an Austin Sink, maybe hoping for a post-trump suburban trend reversion ?
If they want to dummymander, then yes.

The current lines in metro Austin would cost the GOP literally five seats in 2024 if left unchanged.
Suburban reps don't tend to like taking in rural/exurban territory.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #2 on: April 27, 2021, 09:42:52 PM »
Anybody know which Dem would be favoured for a Primary in a New Austin sink district ?
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #3 on: April 27, 2021, 09:57:16 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on April 27, 2021, 09:53:47 PM
Quote from: Liberal Hack on April 27, 2021, 09:42:52 PM
Anybody know which Dem would be favoured for a Primary in a New Austin sink district ?

It would be an insane 20 candidate free for all. I wouldn't be surprised if the new person ends up joining the Squad. 
Will the republican also draw a new Houston Sink ?. I think Lina Hidalgo would be very much favoured for a new sink there if they draw one.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #4 on: April 27, 2021, 10:09:28 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on April 27, 2021, 10:05:39 PM
Quote from: Liberal Hack on April 26, 2021, 10:49:31 PM
Quote from: Stuart98 on April 26, 2021, 10:28:24 PM
Quote from: Liberal Hack on April 26, 2021, 09:40:32 PM
Any chance the republicans don't draw an Austin Sink, maybe hoping for a post-trump suburban trend reversion ?
If they want to dummymander, then yes.

The current lines in metro Austin would cost the GOP literally five seats in 2024 if left unchanged.
Suburban reps don't tend to like taking in rural/exurban territory.
Why do they tend to not like taking in rural/exurban territory?
Well generarly reps don't like their districts chaniging too much leaves them vunerable too a primary challenge. Let's say you're a suburban rep who's district had a bunch of blood-red exurbs added to it. Leaves you vunerable in a primary to someone accusing you of being a RINO.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #5 on: September 09, 2021, 06:08:50 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on September 09, 2021, 06:01:46 PM
If the Texas GOP doesn't draw a new Austin sink for whatever reason, would it be an instant dummymander?
Unless they baconstrip Austin all the way to the panhandle, probably.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2021, 01:54:13 AM »
Do you know who's favoured in the Austin Thunderdome for the new ultra blue district ?
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2021, 09:49:23 AM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on September 28, 2021, 08:56:23 AM
Quote from: Secretary of State Liberal Hack on September 28, 2021, 01:54:13 AM
Do you know who's favoured in the Austin Thunderdome for the new ultra blue district ?

Wouldn't it be Doggett's to lose?  That would open up his current seat, likely for a San Antonio Hispanic Dem. 
Doggett seems too moderate for such a district.
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