Atlas Throwback: 1991 edition

[OSR stands with Israel]

In Aug of 1991 what would Atlas say

This is what i think: Republicans  are nearly certain to win a 4th consecutive  election in 1992 and maybe even take back the Senate and possibly the House for the first time in 38 years.  I think just like in 1984 all the prominent Dems will drop out giving Tsongas the nomination, and while doing better then the previous 3 candidates he will still lose decisively to Bush.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Cuomo is the only Democrat with any chance of beating Bush. If he doesn't run, the Democrats are totally screwed. Bush will utterly destroy the others, especially some womanizer from a small southern state.

You are right If Cuomo isnt nominated I see them losing badly just like they did in the 1980s. And if they lose this election not only would they lose the Senate and maybe the house , they wont have a shot  at winning the White house till 2000 , as by 1996 the economy will likely be great again , and the Soviet Union will likely have collapsed by then so I see the GOP winning in 1996 again. It's looking more like 1980 was 1932 in reverse instead of a repeat of 1920.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Cuomo is the only Democrat with any chance of beating Bush. If he doesn't run, the Democrats are totally screwed. Bush will utterly destroy the others, especially some womanizer from a small southern state.

Who? Gore? Nunn? They both aren't womanizers. I think that a Cuomo/Biden ticket or Cuomo/Nunn could probably win this -

As expected - it's the 272 firewall.

Vermont has only gone democratic once since 1856 and I dont think with Bush popularity he will lose Vermont. And I dont think he loses Colorado, and New Mexico as the GOP won those states in 1976 and 1988 . If the Democrats want to win they will have to win Tennessee, and Arkansas along with rest of the states in your map not including Vermont, Colorado,  New Mexico. The only likely hope the Democrats have is if a far right Conservative, upset at the tax increases runs third party and splits the GOP vote ala 1912.

[OSR stands with Israel]

I wouldn't be surprised if Bush wins even bigger than he did in 1988. Maybe not as big as Reagan '84, but pretty big. Maybe this:

Please. Bush would easily win Massachusetts and NY.

Then you would have the Democrats do worse in 92 then they did in 84