Cube root congressional districts (user search)
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Author Topic: Cube root congressional districts  (Read 12014 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« on: June 04, 2017, 08:13:57 PM »



CD1
TRUMP - 65.0%
CLINTON - 27.8%

JUSTICE - 46.0%
COLE - 43.9%

CD2
TRUMP - 69.5%
CLINTON - 24.8%

COLE - 49.3%
JUSTICE - 41.9%

CD3
TRUMP - 65.0%
CLINTON - 29.0%

JUSTICE - 54.9%
COLE - 36.4%

CD4
TRUMP - 72.5%
CLINTON - 22.5%

JUSTICE - 53.9%
COLE - 39.4%
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 04, 2017, 10:15:35 PM »



CD1 - 64/35 Obama, SAFE D (50.7% BVAP)
CD2 - 60/40 McCain, SAFE R
CD3 - 57/42 M, SAFE R
CD4 - 56/44 M, SAFE R
CD5 - 53/46 M, TILT/LEAN R, though McIntyre would have won this.
CD6 - 58/41 O, SAFE D
CD7 - 57/42 M, SAFE R
CD8 - 55/44 O, LIKELY D
CD9 - 59/40 O, SAFE D
CD10 - 70/29 O, SAFE D
CD11- 51/48 M, LEAN R, Richard Moore could maybe hold it for the Dems.
CD12 - 61/38 O, SAFE D
CD13 - 50/49 O, TOSSUP, can see this seat flipping D in Pres years, R in midterms.
CD14 - 64/35 M, SAFE R
CD15 - 54/45 M, SAFE R, though HRC likely improved a lot here.
CD16 - 62/37 M, SAFE R
CD17 - 78/22 O, SAFE D
CD18 - 59/40 M, SAFE R
CD19 - 64/35 M, SAFE R
CD20 - 59/40 M SAFE R
CD21 - 50/48.5 O, TOSSUP, but Shuler wouldn't have retired.
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #2 on: June 18, 2017, 01:36:19 AM »
« Edited: July 03, 2017, 11:49:56 PM by Miles »

^ Make sure you open it in a non-Chrome browser.


If I had a free hand at LA. 10 seats could be split 5-5:



1) 52/46 MCCAIN, 54/46 DEM. Should elect a Democrat; Landrieu likely carried it in 2014.
2) 71/27 OBAMA, 75/25 DEM. Just over 50% BVAP.
3) 76/22 MCCAIN, 70/30 REP
4) 77/21 MCCAIN, 70/30 REP
5) 58/41 OBAMA, 61/39 DEM, Plurality BVAP, 47.6% to 45.8% white.
6) 50/48 OBAMA, 55/45 DEM, Good for a Blue Dog, or a black Dem like Sanford Bishop. 51% white, 45% black VAP. Could shore this up a few points by going into Alexandria.
7) 68/30 MCCAIN, 64/36 REP
8 ) 66/32 MCCAIN, 61/38 REP
9) 73/26 MCCAIN, 69/31 REP
10) 54.6/44.5 MCCAIN, 50.6/49.4 REP, Republicans are favored, but not completely safe.

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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« Reply #3 on: June 18, 2017, 03:42:59 AM »

VA - I tried to be pretty fair:

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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #4 on: July 01, 2017, 12:14:10 AM »

^ Fis con transplants from Massachusetts.
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #5 on: July 04, 2017, 12:24:20 AM »

Thanks for the other LA map - here are some fixes to my map with that in mind:




I got rid of the Shreveport Blue Dog seat, and now CD6 is 56/43 Obama and over 51% BVAP.

My original CD5 is only plurality-BVAP, but I don't think it would have any problem elected a black rep. For instance, its much less white than EBR Parish as a whole, which has had black Mayor-Presidents since 2005. 
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