2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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  2020 Poll Hype Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 192556 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,870


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: September 23, 2019, 09:47:26 PM »

Will there be a bunch of talk about how Monmouth is a junk poll because they use small samples again?

I predict that if Sanders is leading there will be. If Biden or Warren is leading, there won't be.

That was a pretty dumb thing for a lot of people to get worked up about. Virtually all of Monmouth's sample sizes are 300.

Well, it will still be interesting to see if Gabbard gets a 4th qualifying poll.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,870


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2020, 09:31:45 PM »

Mike Gravel should have gotten all those polls that didn't include him cancelled.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,870


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: February 01, 2020, 09:37:36 PM »

So Bernie increased lead and Pete was below viability? Something tells me this poll would have been released if it was better for the establishment.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,870


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: February 18, 2020, 11:12:37 PM »

No Morning Consult. Maybe they decided we had enough polls released today already.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,870


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 05:01:07 PM »



Sure, if California magically voted for Trump, then Trump would probably win.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,870


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 02:36:03 AM »



The fact that this year people started saying out loud what was obvious to everyone for years, that RCP is a right-wing hack site whose polling aggregates are blatantly manipulated to the benefit or Republican candidates, is one of the most satisfying developments of this election season.

But they had a perfectly reasonable prediction in 2000.

Quote
We continue to see a landslide of over 400 electoral votes and a Bush win by 7-10 points. We will have to wait until tomorrow to see whether the "tightening polls" may have worked to save Illinois, California, Minnesota and a few others for the Vice President.

http://web.archive.org/web/20001212163700/http://realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-Electoral_11_06_EC.html
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