2014 US Gubernatorial Election Results

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Too early to call in Vermont.

Too early to call in Georgia.

And it's based all on exit polls.

Two words: President Kerry.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

CNN just called Wolf's win in PA a "big upset."

ROFL

[Oldiesfreak1854]

I'm not buying the Arkansas calls yet.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Walker wins reelection.  On, Wisconsin!

[Oldiesfreak1854]

When I saw Rauner was beating Quinn in Alexander county, I knew the race was over. Quinn is only getting 64% of Cook, but more importantly he only has a 330K vote lead in Cook. A Dem needs about a 500K margin there to win statewide.

I think Quinn got 63% in Cook 4 years ago, but the fact that most of the outstanding vote is probably Republican means that Rauner's probably got this.  The fat lady's warming up.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Illinois county map: http://www.politico.com/2014-election/results/map/governor/illinois/#.VFp5JfnF9yV


I said Rauner had to win Kirk-level support in the collar counties, and he beat those levels! Quinn only won Cook with 64% and lost everything else.

I will now accept my accolades for the prediction I made:

I'm gonna go out on a limb here and make a prediction.  If Quinn falls under 60% in Cook County, or if Rauner gets over 60% in DuPage County, then Rauner wins.  The GOP could still win without that, but it would be a lot easier this way.