If we do get a 49-49 race on election night...

[Eraserhead]

What do you think that map would look like by 6 AM eastern time the next day? What states (if any) won't be called by then? (For the sake of this exercise, let's pretend the two candidates have the exact same vote totals or so damn close to it that it really doesn't matter.)

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Assuming a relatively uniform swing from where we are now to 49-49, Virgina and Colorado would be the uncalled states, but Obama will have been reelected having won Ohio, Nevada, and Iowa.  Romney would need for Ohio to swing Significantly more than the nation for the outcome to even be in doubt.

[Sbane]

Ohio is really F'in up Romney's plans. Even if Romney won VA, CO as well as Iowa, he would still have to pick up either Nevada or Wisconsin to win without OH. Even quirky NH couldn't save Romney. I really don't see him winning either NV or WI with a basically tied PV.  I think Romney either needs to move the needle in Ohio more or he is danger of having to win by a point or two in the PV to win the election.

[User157088589849]

Based on 2008 results state vs popular vote for Obama. Colorado and Virginia are closest and would need recounts. Colorado going for Obama virginia for romney.

Democrats do have a ceiling issue in Ohio due to the sheer size of the rural population.