"Will Rogers phenomenon" state redistricting challenge (user search)
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  "Will Rogers phenomenon" state redistricting challenge (search mode)
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Author Topic: "Will Rogers phenomenon" state redistricting challenge  (Read 6176 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« on: November 19, 2011, 04:36:16 PM »

I have an example!

Moving Berkeley and Jefferson counties from WV to VA makes them both redder.

The 2 counties, combined, gave McCain 53.2% of the two-party vote to Obama's 46.8%.

Before moving them, Obama's statewide share of the two-party vote in WV is 43.3%; without Jefferson and Berkley, it goes down to 43.0%.

In VA, Obama's two-party vote subsequently declines from 53.18% to 53.08%.
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Miles
MilesC56
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*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2011, 04:38:16 PM »

I have an example!

Moving Berkley and Jefferson counties from WV to VA makes them both redder.

The 2 counties, combined, gave McCain 53.2% of the two-party vote to Obama's 46.8.

Before moving them, Obama's statewide share of the two-party vote in WV is 43.3%; without Jefferson and Berkley, it goes down to 43.0%.

In VA, Obama's two-party vote subsequently declines from 53.18% to 53.08%.
You don't need to calculate the exact results. If a county on the state line is has a result between that of the state it's in and that of the state it borders, it's a valid example.

Pretty obvious that there'd be many.

Well, excuse me for going the extra mile! Sad
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Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2011, 04:41:29 PM »

I have an example!

Moving Berkley and Jefferson counties from WV to VA makes them both redder.

The 2 counties, combined, gave McCain 53.2% of the two-party vote to Obama's 46.8.

Before moving them, Obama's statewide share of the two-party vote in WV is 43.3%; without Jefferson and Berkley, it goes down to 43.0%.

In VA, Obama's two-party vote subsequently declines from 53.18% to 53.08%.
You don't need to calculate the exact results. If a county on the state line is has a result between that of the state it's in and that of the state it borders, it's a valid example.

Pretty obvious that there'd be many.

Well, excuse me for going the extra mile! Sad
Oh, nothing wrong with that, of course... especially if the counties are large enough to have a major / interesting effect (what's the result for Nevada minus Clark and Washoe?) Just pointing out you don't need it to doublecheck.

Its good; I just needed to waste time and I like to crunch numbers.
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