PPP: NE-2: trump +3
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  PPP: NE-2: trump +3
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Author Topic: PPP: NE-2: trump +3  (Read 922 times)
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« Reply #25 on: May 07, 2024, 11:52:19 AM »

Honestly, a terrible poll for Biden. PPP is usually Democratic friendly as far as I recall, so he should at least be ahead here. I've always considered NE-2 at least Lean Democratic since Trump seems toxic in most suburbs, but if he's ahead here, he's strongly favored. Nonetheless, we need to see more polls to validate this.

Why would when the election is close and Trump supposedly in contention of winning the popular vote, NE-2 lean Biden.

That makes no sense to me. Except for that it feels like wishy-washy thinking. Trump won here in 2016.
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: May 07, 2024, 11:52:55 AM »

If Osborn's only 4 points behind Fischer, it's hard for me to see Trump winning NE-02. And yeah, I know Osborn's an independent, but I still doubt the gap would be that large. Running as an Independent didn't help Al Gross in Alaska, after all.

Every poll basically has the Republican underperforming Trump downballot. Every single poll literally.

Trump supposedly takes all purple states that matter and wins the White House, but the Democrats are on their way to a landslide downballot basically.

Yeah, but it would still be pretty crazy for Osborn to run this far ahead of Biden against a two-term incumbent.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« Reply #27 on: May 07, 2024, 11:53:46 AM »

If Osborn's only 4 points behind Fischer, it's hard for me to see Trump winning NE-02. And yeah, I know Osborn's an independent, but I still doubt the gap would be that large. Running as an Independent didn't help Al Gross in Alaska, after all.

Every poll basically has the Republican underperforming Trump downballot. Every single poll literally.

Trump supposedly takes all purple states that matter and wins the White House, but the Democrats are on their way to a landslide downballot basically.

Yeah, but it would still be pretty crazy for Osborn to run this far ahead of Biden against a two-term incumbent.

Well independents seem inflated in almost every poll and it has no Democrat in this option so basically all D-leaning but also indies go with who isn't the Republican.

Secondly... 30% undecided... I can see both getting 37 and 33% like, that's not hard. Many people are undecided, because where is the Democrat, who is this Osborn guy etc.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: May 07, 2024, 12:00:02 PM »

If Trump wins NE-2, GA, NV & AZ and holds NC we have the dreaded 269-269 Tie.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #29 on: May 07, 2024, 12:00:09 PM »

I would be pretty shocked if Trump won NE-02.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #30 on: May 07, 2024, 12:04:32 PM »

I'll be funny if we lose MD and WV and Hold NE HOW WOULD OSBOURNE DETERMINE THE FILIBUSTER
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #31 on: May 07, 2024, 12:04:40 PM »

If Trump wins NE-2, GA, NV & AZ and holds NC we have the dreaded 269-269 Tie.

But I highly doubt Trump would win NE-02 without winning WI and MI!  PA is different because it actually has NE level "everyone went to college" suburbs for Biden to gain in.  That's why this poll is concerning.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #32 on: May 07, 2024, 12:06:13 PM »

If Trump wins NE-2, GA, NV & AZ and holds NC we have the dreaded 269-269 Tie.

I highly doubt Trump would win NE-02 without winning WI and MI!  PA is different because it actually has NE level "everyone went to college" suburbs for Biden to gain in.  That's why this poll is concerning.


It's not concerning if it's MOE and Osbourne is only down 4, users worry too much Biden isn't worried he is governing, you know why he trusts vote
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Devils30
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« Reply #33 on: May 07, 2024, 02:49:05 PM »

If Trump wins NE-2, GA, NV & AZ and holds NC we have the dreaded 269-269 Tie.

But I highly doubt Trump would win NE-02 without winning WI and MI!  PA is different because it actually has NE level "everyone went to college" suburbs for Biden to gain in.  That's why this poll is concerning.

The recent show of the squad/protestors on Israel is not helping Dems in the suburbs whatsoever.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #34 on: May 07, 2024, 05:08:08 PM »

Once again, Trump at his ceiling. And before anyone says "ALL THE UNDECIDEDS WON'T BREAK FOR BIDEN" that is not my point. My point is that Biden has more room for growth because his campaign is entirely a turnout one, not a persuasion one.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #35 on: May 08, 2024, 11:52:58 AM »

Looks like President TRUMP is in good shape in the Midwest. Good news for Wisconsin.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #36 on: May 08, 2024, 11:55:31 AM »

Looks like President TRUMP is in good shape in the Midwest. Good news for Wisconsin.


How is a NE polls good news for Trump
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #37 on: May 08, 2024, 11:57:39 AM »

Looks like President TRUMP is in good shape in the Midwest. Good news for Wisconsin.


How is a NE polls good news for Trump

He’s leading in NE-2 it’s a 313 map for him we will see on EDAY 😁
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