The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[Miles]

Madrigal is doing fairly well.

Yeah; for a perennial Some Dude, he is. He's from Corpus Christie but he's blowing out Davis in some of the counties around the Rio Gande valley.

[Miles]

Did he even run any ads?

I doubt it; all I can find from a simple Google search are generic articles and a few YouTube interviews.

He will not win, Davis is leading by 60 points right now.

Yeah, but it still looks bad that she's losing some of those border counties by pretty big margins.

'Kinda reminds me of LA in 2010. Melancon was running against two Some Dudes for the nomination, but he failed to win majorities in several northern parishes. 'Didn't bode well for the general election.

[Miles]

Scherr is only trailing Rogers 21-17 for the second runoff slot.

[Miles]

What did Dewhurst do to piss off Republicans this much? Before this, I could see his primary being competitive, but losing 42-28!?

[Miles]

State Rep. George Lavender (Texarkana) trailing challenger by 13 points.

Looks like most of Texarkana is still out, so that should help Lavender.

[Miles]

Bowie County is taking forever to report; 29 of its 36 precincts are still out.

Lavander is losing 56/44 but getting 57% in Bowie. He could still hang on with the rest of the county.

[Miles]

And there it is. All of Bowie is in.

Lavender only got 53% in the county, not enough to save him. He gets booted 54-46 from his State House seat.

Fritsch only took 6% there.

[Miles]

Wolf is getting over 50% in Philadelphia with the first results.

[Miles]

Ugh, even with the west out, I don't see how Critz comes back from trailing 48-17 with 65% in

[Miles]

PA-LG called for Stack.

[Miles]

Wow, Ace of Spades is already projecting Patrick for LG.

[Miles]

I know well have a map in the Election Info section soon, but I made a heat map of Dewhurst's margins. Red = winning, blue = losing.

[Miles]

Called for Griffith in AL.

Ivey is cruisin at 62% with 37% in.

[Miles]

Brown is winning every county except for Modoc, where Donnelly leads.

[Miles]

Yee slides down to trailing by more than 9K.

[Miles]

Donnelly concedes.

Brown/Kashkari it is.

[Miles]

Yep. Perez is still up with about 2400 with 100% in. Wow. And last night it looked like he would be the GOP's spoiler in this race.

[Miles]

^Welcome!

[Miles]

This makes a lot of sense and thanks for good analysis. IMHO, the reason why hardliners like Donnelly win in the most liberal areas of the state (like Bay Area) is very simple - few remaining Republicans there (or, at least, active part of them) tend to be a "diehard" type, living in "homes attacked and besieged by enemy" - and vote correspondingly. Traditionally, many Bay Area Republicans (which were elected from area until 1990 or, in few cases, until app. 2000) were of very moderate, even openly progressive variety, but older of them are now dead, and for their children and grandchildren there is very little sense to stay Republican.

Sounds about right.

[Miles]

CA Controller maps:




2nd place:

[Miles]

Hutchinson starts up by 1 vote in NV-LG (448-447).

[Miles]

Big dump. Hutchinson up 53-39.

[Miles]

AoSHQDD calls NV-LG for Hutchison.

[Miles]

Ralston says Lowden isn't gonna overcome Hutchison's 11K vote lead.

[Miles]

Yep, Lowden is conceding. There it is.