2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191437 times)
Granite City
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Posts: 139
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Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: -2.61

« on: June 28, 2020, 11:42:45 AM »
« edited: June 28, 2020, 06:20:43 PM by Granite City »

CBS News just completed a poll and released some results today, but no election matchups.  However, some results have been withheld for later release, so we'll probably get them within a day or two.  Results so far: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1l0XruPxbVV8mBoT0mpmeLk4AmbnkIGeH/view

Among the results:

Generally speaking, do you feel things in America are going...

Very well 5%
Somewhat well 19%
Somewhat badly 36%
Very badly 40%






It was Biden +4 at the start of June so expectations should probably be set low for Biden supporters.

There is a not-insignificant amount of movement on coronavirus;

Overall, how would you say things are going for the U.S. in its efforts to deal with the outbreak of coronavirus?

Very Well - 11% (-1)
Somewhat Well - 27% (-4)
Somewhat Badly - 28% (-4)
Very Badly - 34% (+9)

Might just be noise but I'm guessing Biden +6.
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Granite City
Rookie
**
Posts: 139
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: -2.61

« Reply #1 on: July 01, 2020, 12:55:32 PM »

It would appear Monmouth is dropping tomorrow or Thur w/ their Prez #s



Should get Trump vs Biden tomorrow as they usually wait a day between releasing the approval numbers and the horse race.

He's down from 43% to 41% approval from the June 1st poll which had Biden +11 so I'm inclined to predict good things.
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Granite City
Rookie
**
Posts: 139
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: -2.61

« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2020, 05:18:20 PM »

Last month, we had an extremely good poll for Biden from Monmouth in PA followed by something more tepid from them in GA and IA.

There’s no reason to expect the reverse to occur with NC tomorrow but I would like to see the amusing reaction from the forum.

To the more knowledgable polling gurus: is it actually a bad thing for a polling firm to be releasing seemingly contradictory polling? This would seem to be a sign of normal sampling error but “BOTH SIDES” (sorry, but for this it seems pretty accurate) seem to use it as an excuse to brush off polls and then ignore it when it’s favourable.

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Granite City
Rookie
**
Posts: 139
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: -2.61

« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2020, 06:10:43 AM »


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Granite City
Rookie
**
Posts: 139
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: -2.61

« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2020, 03:34:11 PM »

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Granite City
Rookie
**
Posts: 139
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: -2.61

« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2020, 01:27:38 PM »

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Granite City
Rookie
**
Posts: 139
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: -2.61

« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2020, 08:01:37 AM »

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Granite City
Rookie
**
Posts: 139
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: -2.61

« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2020, 10:26:47 AM »

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