2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191445 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #975 on: August 30, 2020, 12:00:52 PM »
I expect a flurry of quality national polls next weekend.  The first weekend of the month is when many of the major pollsters release monthly polls, and it also allows them to be in the field this week, the first full week following the conventions.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #976 on: August 30, 2020, 05:11:51 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 30, 2020, 12:00:52 PM
I expect a flurry of quality national polls next weekend.  The first weekend of the month is when many of the major pollsters release monthly polls, and it also allows them to be in the field this week, the first full week following the conventions.

I am both, simultaneously, greatly anticipating and dreading them.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #977 on: August 31, 2020, 11:08:24 AM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on August 30, 2020, 05:11:51 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 30, 2020, 12:00:52 PM
I expect a flurry of quality national polls next weekend.  The first weekend of the month is when many of the major pollsters release monthly polls, and it also allows them to be in the field this week, the first full week following the conventions.

I am both, simultaneously, greatly anticipating and dreading them.

I don't dread the polls.  I dread the reactions to them. 
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Gass3268
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« Reply #978 on: August 31, 2020, 12:10:51 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 30, 2020, 12:00:52 PM
I expect a flurry of quality national polls next weekend.  The first weekend of the month is when many of the major pollsters release monthly polls, and it also allows them to be in the field this week, the first full week following the conventions.

I actually think pollsters might be waiting until after Labor Day before starting anything new. Lots of times folks are out on vacation this week. Also it wouldn't make sense to drop polls this weekend when no one is really paying attention.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #979 on: August 31, 2020, 12:22:32 PM »
This race will be hard to analyze because there have been son fewpolls.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #980 on: August 31, 2020, 12:39:11 PM »
Quote from: SaneDemocrat on August 31, 2020, 12:22:32 PM
This race will be hard to analyze because there have been son fewpolls.

There will be a lot after Labor Day.

Nobody is wasting money during the unstable convention times ...
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #981 on: August 31, 2020, 09:19:24 PM »
We're getting an 'interesting' MC poll tomorrow, if my source is correct. Buckle up folks.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #982 on: August 31, 2020, 09:33:41 PM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 31, 2020, 09:19:24 PM
We're getting an 'interesting' MC poll tomorrow, if my source is correct. Buckle up folks.

Any further hints? Is this a state poll or a national one?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #983 on: August 31, 2020, 09:47:47 PM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 31, 2020, 09:19:24 PM
We're getting an 'interesting' MC poll tomorrow, if my source is correct. Buckle up folks.

MC?
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soundchaser
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« Reply #984 on: August 31, 2020, 09:53:37 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on August 31, 2020, 09:47:47 PM
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 31, 2020, 09:19:24 PM
We're getting an 'interesting' MC poll tomorrow, if my source is correct. Buckle up folks.

MC?

Morning Consult, I assume.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #985 on: August 31, 2020, 10:15:07 PM »
Quote from: soundchaser on August 31, 2020, 09:33:41 PM
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 31, 2020, 09:19:24 PM
We're getting an 'interesting' MC poll tomorrow, if my source is correct. Buckle up folks.

Any further hints? Is this a state poll or a national one?
Believe it’s national
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forza nocta
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« Reply #986 on: August 31, 2020, 10:17:10 PM »
They’re gonna have Trump leading, aren’t they
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soundchaser
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« Reply #987 on: August 31, 2020, 10:22:43 PM »
Quote from: forza nocta on August 31, 2020, 10:17:10 PM
They’re gonna have Trump leading, aren’t they

Either that or Biden up by some ridiculous margin like +15.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #988 on: August 31, 2020, 10:33:30 PM »
« Edited: September 01, 2020, 05:25:07 AM by Monstro »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 31, 2020, 10:15:07 PM
Quote from: soundchaser on August 31, 2020, 09:33:41 PM
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 31, 2020, 09:19:24 PM
We're getting an 'interesting' MC poll tomorrow, if my source is correct. Buckle up folks.

Any further hints? Is this a state poll or a national one?
Believe it’s national

Didn't they just release a national poll 2-3 days ago? I guess they really needed that second opinion after Kenosha/Portland.

I'll be pessimistic and assume by 'interesting', you mean 'Trump is coming back!'.

If it's a national poll, I'll go Biden 47-45.

If it's a state poll, I'll go Trump 48-45 in Wisconsin or a tie in Minnesota.

Either way, there'll be plenty of freaking out!
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #989 on: August 31, 2020, 10:37:29 PM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 31, 2020, 09:19:24 PM
We're getting an 'interesting' MC poll tomorrow, if my source is correct. Buckle up folks.

I'm gonna guess a realistic lead for Biden (7-10) but weird crosstabs
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #990 on: September 01, 2020, 05:07:27 AM »
Anything much different than a 6-10 pt lead for MC would be ridiculous considering that thing has been steady for *months* now, especially around Biden +7/8.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #991 on: September 01, 2020, 05:18:41 AM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 31, 2020, 09:19:24 PM
We're getting an 'interesting' MC poll tomorrow, if my source is correct. Buckle up folks.

I'm gonna say that Biden +9 in Wisconsin is going to shock people.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #992 on: September 01, 2020, 09:24:02 AM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on August 31, 2020, 09:19:24 PM
We're getting an 'interesting' MC poll tomorrow, if my source is correct. Buckle up folks.

So, Biden back to pre-DNC levels.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #993 on: September 01, 2020, 09:49:36 AM »
why have there been so few polls recently?  were they just waiting for the conventions to fully end to sample people?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #994 on: September 01, 2020, 01:01:54 PM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #995 on: September 01, 2020, 01:27:41 PM »
Quote from: The Other Castro on September 01, 2020, 01:01:54 PM


Oh god, can't wait for the meltdowns b/c you know they'll have it like Biden +4
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #996 on: September 01, 2020, 01:32:50 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 01, 2020, 01:27:41 PM
Quote from: The Other Castro on September 01, 2020, 01:01:54 PM


Oh god, can't wait for the meltdowns b/c you know they'll have it like Biden +4

Yea probably 48-44 biden
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #997 on: September 01, 2020, 02:25:51 PM »
Unless we get something from the networks before the polls close in MA, this PA poll will probably be our first high quality post-convention live-caller survey. So it very well may show no or only a little change, since everything else has had a iffy reputation.
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New York En Marche!
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« Reply #998 on: September 01, 2020, 05:27:25 PM »
MULaw poll of Wisconsin on September 9, it seems.

https://twitter.com/jrrosswrites/status/1300921497465376774
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #999 on: September 01, 2020, 06:12:23 PM »
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