State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[MAINEiac4434]

Democratic New York assemblyman Frank Skartados passed away today. He represented district 104.

https://www.poughkeepsiejournal.com/story/opinion/editorials/2018/04/15/skartados-death-deep-loss-community-editorial/515195002/

Rip, was a good FF.

[MAINEiac4434]

So, Republicans won 3 Specials to the Democrats 2 tonight. The 🌊 is slowing a bit, it seems.

Next week:

Arkansas
See also: Arkansas state legislative special elections, 2018
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 16   
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 29   
[show]☐ Arkansas House of Representatives District 83

This analysis is retarded even by Atlas standards

This is why I have Wulfric on ignore.

Also IceSpear’s signature.

[MAINEiac4434]

Gallego up by THREE with eight precincts reporting.

[MAINEiac4434]

Two of the candidates for Maine Attorney General are current legislators, meaning there could well be a special election very early in 2019.

The candidates are Aaron Frey, Mike Carpenter, Mark Dion, Tim Shannon and Maeghan Maloney — Frey is a State Representative from Bangor and Carpenter is a State Senator from Aroostook. A special election for Carpenter’s seat will be much more interesting than one for Frey’s seat, as Carpenter only narrowly won while Bangor is a Safe D city.

[MAINEiac4434]

There will be a special election in Maine, as Bangor Rep. Aaron Frey has been nominated as Attorney General. He will ascend to the office in the coming weeks. And we already have people getting ready to run for the seat.

https://twitter.com/mikeshepherdME/status/1070082203663691776

https://twitter.com/bensprague/status/1070124049496457216

[MAINEiac4434]

Two strong Democrats running for Attorney General-elect Aaron Frey's seat in Bangor, Maine.

http://bangordailynews.com/2018/12/17/politics/two-democrats-including-bangors-council-chair-announce-bids-in-special-house-race/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1545064768

[MAINEiac4434]

GOP Candidate for Maine's 124th District Special Election Made Racist, Misogynist Posts on Social Media

Seat is Safe D anyway, but the Maine GOP still isn't sending their best.

[MAINEiac4434]

Another vacancy in the Maine House of Representatives

Bath’s state rep. announces resignation to take ‘unique career opportunity’ at telecom company

A long-time Bath city councilor died just two days before DeChant's resignation announcement, and his death seems to have become known the same day as DeChant's announcement that she was resigning, so that has "quieted the politics" as one friend told me.  Also, in Maine a vacancy in the State House can't be declared until a municipal governing body in one of the municipalities affected (in this case the Bath City Council) requests that a vacancy be declared, and they may want to time it so the two special elections coincide, but they obviously don't want to make such a declaration on the council vacancy before the deceased's funeral, so it may be a week or two before we know when the special election to replace DeChant will be.

‘A giant in the city’: Bath mourns longtime city councilor, civic icon Bernie Wyman

So asking the inevitable Atlas question, what are the prospects of this seat flipping. The State House seat that is.

0%. DeChant got over 70% of the vote in 2018.

[MAINEiac4434]

One note on the Maine election: the GOP candidate was a literal child and associated with white nationalist groups, while the Dem was a state legislator from 1996-2010.

It was never in danger (Bangor is progressive and Orono is a college town), but might have something to do with the absolutely abysmal GOP performance there.