Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
Posts: 20,092
Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26
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« on: July 17, 2017, 07:14:43 PM » |
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Here's your winning map today. You need the oil counties to take an even greater hit, Little Dixie to swing pretty substantially (effectively replicating the 2010-2014 swing in terms of net gains), OKC and Tulsa to get on the anti-Trump suburbanite bandwagon like other metro areas did in 2016 (and by similar margins), a small-but-consistent statewide anti-GOP backlash built on school system dissatisfaction, and a strong Dem turnout coupled with a weak GOP one. That should get you barely across the finish line (i.e. a plurality).
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