Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Calthrina950]

Will Sinema hit 50% with the remaining votes? I've asked this question already.

Sorry, didn't see. It looks like a resounding yes. The final result will probably be around 50.5 to 51% Sinema.

I am glad to hear that. It will make the map more aesthetically pleasing, leaving Manchin as the only Democrat to win while failing to obtain a absolute majority. Scott, if he pulls it out, will be the only Republican to do so.

[Thatkat04]

Any reason why the latest OC returns have been less Democratic than the previous couple days? Is it something we should extrapolate from, or is it just noise and we can expect another good batch tomorrow?

I really want Katie Porter to pull this off.

Didnt the margin between Porter and Walters shrink by 1% today?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Is it possible McSally could concede anytime soon?

I doubt she will concede.   It's still mathematically possible for her to win.

[Gass3268]

Any reason why the latest OC returns have been less Democratic than the previous couple days? Is it something we should extrapolate from, or is it just noise and we can expect another good batch tomorrow?

I really want Katie Porter to pull this off.

I'm not sure, but I remember when we waited during the primary. There was a lull in the middle where  the Republicans did a bit better.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

I love how conservatives keep referring to the counting of actual votes as "finding" new votes. They need to stop bashing education and go back and get some more of it.

These conservatives all acting like they got their degrees from Trump U

But I thought that you learn counting in Kindergarten, not in University. At least, I did. Maybe it is different in the rural areas though.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Any reason why the latest OC returns have been less Democratic than the previous couple days? Is it something we should extrapolate from, or is it just noise and we can expect another good batch tomorrow?

I really want Katie Porter to pull this off.

More importantly, Cisneros really needs to win.  Somewhere along the line I got more invested in that race than like 80% of competitive house seats. 

[Antonio the Sixth]

Any reason why the latest OC returns have been less Democratic than the previous couple days? Is it something we should extrapolate from, or is it just noise and we can expect another good batch tomorrow?

I really want Katie Porter to pull this off.

Didnt the margin between Porter and Walters shrink by 1% today?

That was yesterday. Today it shrunk by like a dozen of votes.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Chill down people. There are still more than 300k ballots in Orange county and today they counted less than 1/10 of that. For all we know this batch might have been from Walters's neighborhood district.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Any reason why the latest OC returns have been less Democratic than the previous couple days? Is it something we should extrapolate from, or is it just noise and we can expect another good batch tomorrow?

I really want Katie Porter to pull this off.

More importantly, Cisneros really needs to win.  Somewhere along the line I got more invested in that race than like 80% of competitive house seats. 

I care about Katie a lot more than Cisneros, but I hope they both win of course.

[Gass3268]

Any reason why the latest OC returns have been less Democratic than the previous couple days? Is it something we should extrapolate from, or is it just noise and we can expect another good batch tomorrow?

I really want Katie Porter to pull this off.

More importantly, Cisneros really needs to win.  Somewhere along the line I got more invested in that race than like 80% of competitive house seats. 

I'm not sure how much counting Los Angeles County has done. They don't seem to be on the same regular schedule as Orange County.

[pppolitics]

Incredibly excited over AZ Secretary of State results so far

(might just be the most nerdiest thing said ever)

Me too. Because:

1. Ducey wouldn’t run for Senate in 2020 if Hobbs was SOS (he would be the best NRSC recruit)
2. Election oversight
3. Hobbs would stand an excellent chance of becoming AZ Gov in her own right given how many past Secretaries of State have become Governor of Arizona

Alternatively, if Ducey runs for senate and win, we pickup the governor seat.

Still a win.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Any reason why the latest OC returns have been less Democratic than the previous couple days? Is it something we should extrapolate from, or is it just noise and we can expect another good batch tomorrow?

I really want Katie Porter to pull this off.

More importantly, Cisneros really needs to win.  Somewhere along the line I got more invested in that race than like 80% of competitive house seats.  

I'm not sure how much counting Los Angeles County has done. They don't seem to be on the same regular schedule as Orange County.

Los Angeles County isn't updating until Tuesday afternoon. San Bernardino County is updating on Wednesday.

[Gass3268]

Any reason why the latest OC returns have been less Democratic than the previous couple days? Is it something we should extrapolate from, or is it just noise and we can expect another good batch tomorrow?

I really want Katie Porter to pull this off.

More importantly, Cisneros really needs to win.  Somewhere along the line I got more invested in that race than like 80% of competitive house seats.  

I'm not sure how much counting Los Angeles County has done. They don't seem to be on the same regular schedule as Orange County.

Los Angeles County isn't updating until Tuesday afternoon. San Bernardino County is updating on Wednesday.

Yeah, LA County is where Cisneros is most likely to get votes he needs to win.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Any reason why the latest OC returns have been less Democratic than the previous couple days? Is it something we should extrapolate from, or is it just noise and we can expect another good batch tomorrow?

I really want Katie Porter to pull this off.

Well if LA County is not at all in the numbers and nonetheless Cisneros gained even anything at all, that should be a very good sign for him. Kim should be winning the OC part of CA-39 for her to have a realistic shot.

More importantly, Cisneros really needs to win.  Somewhere along the line I got more invested in that race than like 80% of competitive house seats.  

I'm not sure how much counting Los Angeles County has done. They don't seem to be on the same regular schedule as Orange County.

Los Angeles County isn't updating until Tuesday afternoon. San Bernardino County is updating on Wednesday.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Thank God this woman didn't win...

https://twitter.com/RussContreras/status/1061469884775727104

[Storr]

Thank God this woman didn't win...

https://twitter.com/RussContreras/status/1061469884775727104

She made Lou Barletta proud.

[user12345]

Thank God this woman didn't win...

https://twitter.com/RussContreras/status/1061469884775727104

So funny to see "Judge" Jeanine lying through her teeth. She claimed a Democrat hadn't held the seat for the last 16 years when a Democrat held it 2009-2011. And not being able to pronounce her name at all. What a joke. If you're going to deceive your viewers, at least try harder.

[wbrocks67]

Thank God this woman didn't win...

https://twitter.com/RussContreras/status/1061469884775727104

She made Lou Barletta proud.

*did* Lou even concede? I didn't even see him write anything about Casey winning

[Xing]

Funny, when Democrats lose: "You lost, get over it." When Republicans lose: "Voter fraud! Finding votes! They stole the election!"

[Badger]

Good riddance to Rohrabacher, one of the absolute worst Trumpist in Congress.

[Badger]

I love how conservatives keep referring to the counting of actual votes as "finding" new votes. They need to stop bashing education and go back and get some more of it.

[Badger]

Funny, when Democrats lose: "You lost, get over it." When Republicans lose: "Voter fraud! Finding votes! They stole the election!"

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Funny, when Democrats lose: "You lost, get over it." When Republicans lose: "Voter fraud! Finding votes! They stole the election!"

Come and join us, we don't bite.

[henster]

Thinking about AZ. If today was a mixture of batch A and B. And Batch A had party ID even and it's been Sinema +15 or so and batch B is supposedly R+10 in party ID. Today's batch was Sinema +7, so assuming batch A mixed in was again Sinema +15 what would've batch B been for it to end up at +7 overall?

[Panda Express]

https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1061432753248448512