TN Vanderbilt/SSRS: Bredesen +1

[IceSpear]

Their past polls:

Trump +11
Romney +7
Romney +3

Junk.

[IceSpear]

Their past polls:

Trump +11
Romney +7
Romney +3

Junk.

When were these polls taken?

The 2016 one was conducted from late September to early October. The national average at the time ranged from Clinton +1 to Clinton +3.

The 2012 ones were taken in February and May. The national average at the time ranged from a tie to Obama +6.

Not that it really matters. Those margins were completely unrealistic for Tennessee during any point of the 2012/2016 campaigns, even right after the pussygrabber tape.

[IceSpear]

Their past polls:

Trump +11
Romney +7
Romney +3

Junk.

Big Difference this time though is that they seem to be working with CNN's pollster, SSRS, to conduct this poll this time, so doesn't that make this almost like a CNN/SSRS poll in a way?

Good catch, I didn't notice that.

This is actually a decent poll for Bredesen then considering the circumstances, but not really since he was up 5 in their last poll.

[IceSpear]

I don’t think anyone is seriously denying that Bredesen could win in a massive Democratic tsunami, it’s just a question of whether you believe 2018 will be such an election or not. Unlike the rest of this forum, I’m not convinced it will be, at least not yet.

I am.

Even if there's a tsunami, it's clearly built off urban and suburban areas. It's not going to be enough for Tennessee, which is very rural and has more white evangelicals and less black people than Alabama (and the Republican candidate isn't a pedophile.)