Mexico 2006

[minionofmidas]

Weird PRI ads...

Oh yeah, what Red NJ said.

[minionofmidas]

Your opinion of candidates (favorable, unfavorable, neutral, don't know)
Lopez Obrador +42-30=21?7

For which candidate would you never vote?
Lopez Obrador 23%

In some of its advertisement PAN compares Lopez Obrador with the Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez. Do you think it is an adecuate or an imprecise comparison?
Adecuate 18%

In your opinion, would election of Lopez Obrador be a danger for the country?
Yes 40%

If he were to become president, which candidate is the likeliest to provoke an economic crisis?
Lopez Obrador 33%

Weird set of figures there ... "only" 40% have a negative opinion of him but 40% think he's "a danger to the country"?

[minionofmidas]

Maybe Madrazo and Lopez Obrador will morph into a single person.

[minionofmidas]

TradeSports prices:

Obrador 58.2
Madrazo 4.2
Calderon 37.0

Goes to show the PRI partisans haven't discovered TradeSports yet. Otherwise Madrazo's share would be up with the Dems' share of taking back the Senate.

[minionofmidas]

And here I am thinking Obrador and the PRD are like Howard Dean and the liberals! Its not a simple left/right divide like we have up here.

I'm glad to hear that PAN is more moderate than I assumed.

 

Lol.

Anyone thinking the US has a "simple left/right divide" really has a lot to learn, you know that?

Probably no country in the world has one, but the US' gotta be one of the most complex splits around anywhere...

[minionofmidas]

Hehe, of the 31 states plus the DF
PAN is first in 16, second in 11, third in 5
PRD is first in 16, second in 7, third in 9
PRI is first in 0, second in 14, third in 18

[minionofmidas]

IFE has just come out clean.

The  11,184 "missing" (containing errors) protocols account for 2 581 226 votes.

These are distributed as follows:

743 795 for Calderon.

809 003 for Madrazo.

888 971 for Lopez Obrador.

13 946 for Campa.

28 040 for Mercado

15  019 for write-ins.

82 452 invalid.

Calderon's lead is thus cut to 257,000 votes.

Now all they need to do is declare any ballots but these invalid!

[minionofmidas]

Actually, the highest turnouts (68%) were in Mexico City, where Lopez got 58% (to Calderon's 27%) and in Tabasco, which gave Calderon the worst result (Lopez 56%, Calderon 3.6%). 

How the hell did that result in Tabasco happen, btw?

[minionofmidas]

An interesting feature of this election was that, other than the Mexico City and its surroundings,  the large urban areas went for the right, not for the left.

...while 6 years ago, all the large urban areas went for the right, not for the center. If you can seriously call the PRI center to PAN's right, that is.

[minionofmidas]

Well, maybe not all... but I do remember looking over the election results by constituency way back then, and the urban PAN - rural PRI divide was very very obvious.

[minionofmidas]

HELP!

I'm trying to figure out the election results for an individual pueblo. How do I go about for that?

[minionofmidas]

Nacimiento de los Negros (or perhaps El Nacimiento etc), state of Coahuila. Municipio is probably Musquiz.

[minionofmidas]

Nacimiento de los Negros (or perhaps El Nacimiento etc), state of Coahuila. Municipio is probably Musquiz.

You are interested in afro-seminole voting patterns? That's a tough one, but let me try.

I'm interested in the history of the Black Seminoles. The vote result question came sort of naturally...

That might be it, yeah. The Kickapoo probably don't vote at all - aren't exactly sedentary anyways... although if that's it, it would seem the Mascogos didn't exactly turn out in high numbers either. Shame there's no figure for registered voters...

[minionofmidas]

Thanks!