Spanish General Election 2011

[Antonio the Sixth]

Could I ask what the polling hours are (local time) and whether I may be permitted to report the results sourcing EuroNews?

Why shouldn't you be permitted ?

[minionofmidas]

Could I ask what the polling hours are (local time) and whether I may be permitted to report the results sourcing EuroNews?

Why shouldn't you be permitted ?

Because EuroNews is not a quality source. There'll be much better ones available.

I saw something that seems to imply polls close at 9 (local time). No idea if polls close at 9 local time in the Canaries (which use GMT) or at the same time as on the continent.

[Niemeyerite]

I'm sure polls open at 9 and close at 21:00. In Canary Islands, I'm not sure, but I think they close at 8:00

[Tender Branson]

Here are some statistics from the MIR (Spanish Interior Ministry):

35.779.208 people will be eligible to vote

34.296.458 who live in Spain and 1.482.750 Spanish who live abroad

http://elecciones.mir.es/generales2011/Las_elecciones_en_cifras/Las_elecciones_en_cifras.htm

[Tender Branson]

I'll try a prediction:

44.4% PP (ca. 185 seats)
33.1% PSOE (ca. 115 seats)
  8.3% IU
  3.9% CiU
  3.5% UPyD
  6.8% Others

Turnout: 70-75%

PS: I'd probably vote for Equo (a small Green party) if I could vote in Spain today.

[Tender Branson]

BTW: The first turnout estimate will come at 2pm.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Is turnout expected to drop significantly ? With the crisis and all, there should be plenty of people disappointed by politics in general.

[Tender Branson]

Is turnout expected to drop significantly ? With the crisis and all, there should be plenty of people disappointed by politics in general.

Or they could just support smaller parties this time.

We'll know more at 2pm.

[Tender Branson]

This will be the results page incl. turnout figures:

www.generales2011.mir.es

[SPQR]

This is seriously one of the weirdest elections I've ever "lived".
Nobody seems to give a damn,NOBODY.

[You kip if you want to...]

This is seriously one of the weirdest elections I've ever "lived".
Nobody seems to give a damn,NOBODY.

Because the result's always been obvious and Rajoy's awful.

[Colbert]

Mistakes likely.

that's remain me a word from civil war times : "In Burgos, even stones are nationalists"

[Tender Branson]

Turnout is lower so far:

37.9% vs. 40.5% in 2008

That would mean ~70% turnout for today.

[Niemeyerite]

In my town the turnout is higher than in 2008. In the Basque Country, Jaen and Cordoba it's also grown. In the rest of Spain, it's lower.

I've been all the time helping PSOE people this morning. But, you know, "Alea Iacta Est". Rajoy will win, unfortunately...

My prediction:

PP 183-186
PSOE 126-129 (being optimistic)
IU 7-9
UPyD 2-3
CiU 12
PNV 4
Aralar 5
BNG 2
CC-NC 3
FAC 2
ERC 2-3
Compromis/Equo 2
PRC 0 (unfortunately)

[minionofmidas]

What's your town?

[Antonio the Sixth]

No chance of PP being under the magic 175 line ?

[Leftbehind]

This is seriously one of the weirdest elections I've ever "lived".
Nobody seems to give a damn,NOBODY.

Because the result's always been obvious and Rajoy's awful.

But seemingly not awful enough to repel voters to the point where they're incentivised to go out and vote against him.

[Tender Branson]

The next turnout numbers will be released @ 6pm.

61% will be the number to beat for this measurement.

[Tender Branson]

La Razon will have an Exit Poll already @ 8pm, not 9pm when polls close:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://larazon.es/noticia/3746-hoy-a-las-20-00-horas-encuesta-exclusiva-en-la-razon

[Tender Branson]

Turnout @ 6pm was 57.5% instead of 61%.

So yeah, 70% looks good for today.

[Keystone Phil]

So polls close in roughly two and a half hours, right? When do we expect PP to hit around 160-175 seats? Does anyone have a decent live stream of the results coverage?

[Niemeyerite]

So polls close in roughly two and a half hours, right? When do we expect PP to hit around 160-175 seats? Does anyone have a decent live stream of the results coverage?

PP will have 175 seats at the very beggining of the night. I'll be following the results here: http://www.generales2011.mir.es/ini99v.htm

and also in ELPAIS.COM, twitter and elmundo.es

My town is San Sebastian de los Reyes (north of Madrid)

[Keystone Phil]

So polls close in roughly two and a half hours, right? When do we expect PP to hit around 160-175 seats? Does anyone have a decent live stream of the results coverage?

PP will have 175 seats at the very beggining of the night. I'll be following the results here: http://www.generales2011.mir.es/ini99v.htm

and also in ELPAIS.COM, twitter and elmundo.es

My town is San Sebastian de los Reyes (north of Madrid)

Do you know of anyone with a live stream video of the results?

[minionofmidas]

You mean, a livestream of some tv station's reporting of the results? You want to practice your spoken Spanish comprehension?

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

I can understand Spanish to an extent, so if anyone has a livestream link, post away!