It’s a bit astonishing that NE-02 was so Republican before 2008, since it’s anchored by a city as large as Omaha. I mean, it voted for Bush in 2004 by more than the entire state of South Dakota!
Even the 2004 United States presidential election results yielded a corresponding prognostication; Bush had won Nebraska's district by 21.7%, Indiana by "merely" 20.7%. Consequently, an Obama victory in Indiana seemed a tad more probable.
I disagree, as its easier to see a large swing in a district than a state.
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