Would another republican have had a higher margin in 1980? (user search)
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  Would another republican have had a higher margin in 1980? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Would another republican have had a higher margin in 1980?  (Read 1877 times)
buritobr
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« on: July 09, 2019, 09:17:02 AM »
In October 1980, Carter had a ~35% approval rate. So, he overperformed ~5 points. Maybe, it was anti-Reagan vote. If all the voters who approved Carter had voted for him, all Anderson voters disapproved Carter. 65% voters disapproved Carter, and Reagan had "only" 51%.
Would another republican have had a higher margin?
At that time, maybe the theory which says that more close to center candidates have more votes was valid. We could observe this in 1964 and 1972.
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buritobr
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« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2019, 09:11:54 PM »
Quote from: 𝕿𝖍𝖚𝖌 𝕷𝖎𝖋𝖊 on July 09, 2019, 10:40:06 AM
Someone like H.W probably would have done better in the PV than Reagan, but he also would have lost some Southern states that Reagan very narrowly won.

HW's home state was Texas.
He was born in Massachusetts, but he moved to the South after the WW2
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