Australia General Discussion 2.0

[Lachi]

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-06-22/salim-mehajer-sentencing/9898398
Yes!

Good riddance, about bloody time.

[Lachi]

Darling Range state by-election result:
LIB GAIN

[Lachi]

Liberals ahead on a 2 party preferred basis. Malcolm is looking confident.

Wait, we are? For real this time? In an actual poll? Not one of our internal push-polls? Is this Federal or in one of the by-elections?

It would be the ReachTel poll for Longman. People shouldn't be looking too much into individual seat polls though, as they are historically horrible, especially ReachTel

[Lachi]

Liberals ahead on a 2 party preferred basis. Malcolm is looking confident.

Wait, we are? For real this time? In an actual poll? Not one of our internal push-polls? Is this Federal or in one of the by-elections?

It would be the ReachTel poll for Longman. People shouldn't be looking too much into individual seat polls though, as they are historically horrible, especially ReachTel

We've been up or tied in every poll in Longman.

tbf, we were also up or tied in both Bennelong and Darling Range.

[Lachi]

Nutjobs now swarming over Emma Husar and her seat saying it's a solid Liberal gain even if she is booted out by the party.

God people are idiots...

[Lachi]

Well, I don't think the greens will win Batman/Cooper in the next election.

THEY ARE RUNNING THE BULLY ALEX BHATHAL IN THE SEAT FOR THE SEVENTH TIME!!! HAHAHAHA.

[Lachi]

If the Greens run a good and competent national campaign, there are quite a few sleepers that could come into play at this point. Macnamara should fall, Labor screwed themselves in preselection, but seats like Ryan, Brisbane, Wills, Higgins, Richmond, etc. could at least come into play.

[Lachi]

If the Greens run a good and competent national campaign, there are quite a few sleepers that could come into play at this point. Macnamara should fall, Labor screwed themselves in preselection, but seats like Ryan, Brisbane, Wills, Higgins, Richmond, etc. could at least come into play.

I agree with you on Wills and Higgins and maybe Brisbane, but Richmond lost Nimbin and gained Ballina in 2016, and even though the Greens are hitting 50% in Byron they can barely break 10% in Tweed Heads. And Ryan? We got 52% on first preferences last time.

The candidate in Ryan is a terrible fit for the area, and the mess that was the preselection can't help the LNP there.

Plus, the LNP are currently looking at a big hit on first preferences in QLD.
HOWEVER, Greens only have a chance there though IF they take it seriously, which it doesn't look like they will.

[Lachi]

My initial rating for Wagga Wagga is Safe LIB. However, if the Nats jump in, who knows what might happen.

[Lachi]

Any sliver of credibility that Sky News had has been lost as they interviewed A LITERAL NEO-NAZI LAST NIGHT. Blair Cottrell actually espouses things such as that all students should be made to read Mein Kampf, and that images and portraits of Adolf Hitler should be hung up in schools.

Oh yeah, and Sky News is going free to air in Australia as well, oh no...

[Lachi]

Any sliver of credibility that Sky News had has been lost as they interviewed A LITERAL NEO-NAZI LAST NIGHT. Blair Cottrell actually espouses things such as that all students should be made to read Mein Kampf, and that images and portraits of Adolf Hitler should be hung up in schools.

Oh yeah, and Sky News is going free to air in Australia as well, oh no...

They're only going free to air in the regional TV districts, as the deal is with WIN.

I'm in Regional VIC though... so RIP me

[Lachi]

https://www.portnews.com.au/story/5571421/luke-hartsuyker-to-quit-politics/

Considering it's now an open seat, and Oakeshott has said he will run a serious campaign this time around he has a very real chance of coming back into parliament. We will see though.

[Lachi]

In other news, Victorian Liberals are about to commit political suicide per the notice papers for tomorrow's sitting of the Assembly.

[Lachi]

Peter Dutton will be Australia's 30th prime minister within a week. We just don't know when the second spill will be.

[Lachi]

God, Morrison's speech was filled with bs that he should know the public won't buy.

[Lachi]

Primary vote;
LNP: 33% (-4)
LAB: 41% (+6)
GRN: 10% (0)
ON: 7% (-2)

[Lachi]

Hanson advocating assault against a 9-year-old. Classy... not

[Lachi]

The ipsos poll was 55-45 Labor, not 53-47. The 53-47 was from newspoll

[Lachi]

Probably a lolMorgan situation but look at their numbers in Wentworth:

http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6858-melbourne-batman-set-to-turn-green-at-federal-election-july-2016-201606171633

More like a lolIndividualSeats situation.

Though in fairness, that isn't the only poll that shows a big swing against Turnbull. Although the district is very blue-ribbon it's in a different sort of way to say Mitchell....voters there tend to some left-wing views, especially on social matters and are probably disappointed in Turnbull's right-wing turn.

I'll make a bold prediction though - the next winner of Wentworth will be a Green. I'll probably look like an idiot, but demographically a lot of the seat is pretty good for them and I'm about 90% sure there'll be a by-election there soon....

Are you saying you think the Libs are going to lose?

No. But it'll be close enough that the right-wing of the Libs will strike back and topple Turnbull this term even assuming they win.

LOL, this turned out to be a brilliant call.

Took a while, but it happened haha

[Lachi]

The federal National Party's treasurer and candidate for the Shepparton district in November's state election, Peter Schwartz, has been implicated in a corruption scandal involving the use of $850,000 given to the party for use in water saving type issues.

https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/no-work-done-after-nationals-treasurer-got-850k-water-saving-grant-20181025-p50bve.html

[Lachi]

So you would prefer that we go with that the minority want, rather then what the majority prefer?

[Lachi]

https://twitter.com/joshgnosis/status/1076969393848868864
Oh my...

[Lachi]

Today is a very significant day in Australian politics. in a vote of 75-74, the government side has been defeated in a vote for a bill for the first time in modern history. The last time this happened was 90 years ago

https://twitter.com/politicsabc/status/1095219170549985280

[Lachi]

Liberals lose 50th Newspoll in a row.

https://twitter.com/GhostWhoVotes/status/1104691121219756033
https://twitter.com/GhostWhoVotes/status/1104691343022931968

[Lachi]

We cant assault our politicians in public. Someone else will hit him now.

In other news, Milo had been rebanned from entering Australia following his commentary on the NZ shootings.

 . . . It was a f***ing egg.

He didn’t throw an egg, his hand hit the guy’s head. As awful a human being that guy is, that was assault and you just can’t do that.

Did you forget the part when Anning PUNCHED him

Correction: PUNCHED a MINOR