Which state do you think would vote Democratic first: Arizona or Georgia?

[DC Al Fine]

And what about religion? I don't really know how to weight for that but that can be something to consider when comparing a southwest state vs a state in the deep south. Arizona is less religious overall with less (white) baptists than Georgia.

Arizona has Mormons who presumably came out in full force for Romney. Perhaps it's less R than we thought. I'd say Arizona simply because Georgia has a much higher floor for the GOP in it's white evangelical voters.