Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive

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Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive

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Poll

Question:

Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive?

#1 Brian Fitzpatrick (PA-01)		43 (72.9%)
#2 John Katko (NY-24)		16 (27.1%)

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Partisan results

Total Voters: 59

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Topic: Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive (Read 912 times)

Lognog
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Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive

« on: October 23, 2020, 12:03:08 PM »

These are the last two Clinton district Republicans in the whole country. They have had the most moderate record and performed well in 2018. Which one is more likely to survive.

Also I didn't include Hurd because he is retiring and his district is pretty much gone for Republicans

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Roll Roons
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	Re: Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive « Reply #1 on: October 23, 2020, 12:18:43 PM »
	« Edited: October 23, 2020, 12:35:33 PM by Roll Roons »

Fitz wins by more, but ultimately I think both hold on.

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Calthrina950
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Re: Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive

« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2020, 01:24:51 PM »

Fitzpatrick, given that he's led in the vast majority of polls and has considerable crossover appeal, surviving the double-digit wins of Wolf and Casey in 2018 in his district. But I think both will narrowly hold on, though a Democratic sweep of these two districts is not out of the question.

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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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Re: Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive

« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2020, 01:26:15 PM »

Fitzpatrick due to his over performance in 2018. I think both narrowly lose though

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Red Wall
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Re: Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive

« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2020, 03:04:14 PM »

Fitz. Also there are 3 running (them + Garcia).

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Calthrina950
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Re: Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive

« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2020, 03:10:27 PM »

Quote from: Red Wall on October 23, 2020, 03:04:14 PM

Fitz. Also there are 3 running (them + Garcia).

This is true, but Fitzpatrick and Katko are the last two Republicans from Clinton districts running for reelection that were incumbents at the time of the 2016 election. Hurd, of course, is retiring, and would lose if he ran for reelection anyhow.

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Xing
xingkerui
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Re: Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive

« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2020, 03:34:27 PM »

I guess I'll be *bold* and say Katko, since I think Biden will do better in PA-01 than NY-24.

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S019
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Re: Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive

« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2020, 03:43:02 PM »

Fitzpatrick, I honestly think Katko's district will swing hard to Biden and the DCCC is focusing more on the 24th than the 1st. If Finello wins, she'll be pure driftwood, Balter, while benefitting from Biden's coattails is also running a better campaign than in 2018.

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