Predict Margin (%) for NC-Senate (user search)
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  Predict Margin (%) for NC-Senate (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict Margin (%) for NC-Senate  (Read 912 times)
Joe Republic
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 40,109
Ukraine


« on: September 21, 2014, 09:51:36 PM »

A Mason-Dixon poll on this race (and others throughout the South) would clear the air nicely....   

After their final definitive poll of Florida in 2012... that showed Romney +6... I'm not that comfortable having too much faith in them.

So it missed Florida -it made a mistake.  Can you name a polling company that doesn't?  But compared to some I have seen here, Mason-Dixon is still among the top pollsters in the country.

Obama +3 in Minnesota; ended up being +8.
Obama +2 in Wisconsin; ended up being +7.
Obama +7 in Connecticut; ended up being +17.

MD used to be good.  Now they're just so-so.
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Joe Republic
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,109
Ukraine


« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2014, 10:30:22 PM »

A Mason-Dixon poll on this race (and others throughout the South) would clear the air nicely....   

After their final definitive poll of Florida in 2012... that showed Romney +6... I'm not that comfortable having too much faith in them.

So it missed Florida -it made a mistake.  Can you name a polling company that doesn't?  But compared to some I have seen here, Mason-Dixon is still among the top pollsters in the country.

Obama +3 in Minnesota; ended up being +8.
Obama +2 in Wisconsin; ended up being +7.
Obama +7 in Connecticut; ended up being +17.

MD used to be good.  Now they're just so-so.

And how about senatorial races?

Pretty terrible:

(2012)
FL D+6; reality was D+13
MT R+4; reality was D+4
ND R+2; reality was D+1
MO D+2; reality was D+16
WI D+2; reality was D+6
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