Save for any realignment, is NC about to become solid blue? (user search)
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  Save for any realignment, is NC about to become solid blue? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Save for any realignment, is NC about to become solid blue?  (Read 1377 times)
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


« on: July 20, 2016, 12:49:36 PM »

Why is it okay to say things about how LA, AL, MS, GA, SC, and NC will soon be more favorable to Democrats? When people on here also mention the Mideast(MN, IL, WI, and MI) is trending Republican, we make fun of them, saying things like "LOL Mideast GOP because muh working class whites!"

It seems Atlas can only accept a realignment helping Democrats.
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Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 20, 2016, 06:31:38 PM »

Why is it okay to say things about how LA, AL, MS, GA, SC, and NC will soon be more favorable to Democrats? When people on here also mention the Mideast(MN, IL, WI, and MI) is trending Republican, we make fun of them, saying things like "LOL Mideast GOP because muh working class whites!"

It seems Atlas can only accept a realignment helping Democrats.

Because at various periods in time, the parties are not necessarily on equal footing and/or not facing equal headwinds. Just because a slew of states trends one way doesn't mean the other party gets their own batch of favorable trends. It's not like Republicans have not had their own periods of dominance and favorable trends. Eventually the pendulum swings back and we are now in a time where Democrats are on the receiving end.

That being said, I think the results of this election will help us understand more about what is going on in the rust belt / Great Lakes states, but as it stands now, there are few overwhelmingly trends that favor Republicans like demographics are for Democrats in states like, say, VA/CO/NV.

Republicans only have themselves to blame for digging themselves into a demographic hole. Instead of actually trying to expand their coalition, they settled for cheap, destructive politics to win elections in the short term, which helped damage and continue to damage their long-term prospects.

Realignments traditionally help both parties in different states. It's not neccessrily an equal amount, but it does happen. For example, as California, New York, and New England trended Democrat immensely from 1956 to 1996, the South began realigning largely for the Republicans.
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