KY-D Primary - YouGov Blue/MVMT/Booker for Kentucky: McGrath + 9% (user search)
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  KY-D Primary - YouGov Blue/MVMT/Booker for Kentucky: McGrath + 9% (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY-D Primary - YouGov Blue/MVMT/Booker for Kentucky: McGrath + 9%  (Read 679 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,413
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: June 16, 2020, 02:06:58 PM »

I disagree, McConnell beat ALG by 20 pts in a midterm and  beat Lunsford by 6 in a Prez election,  since this is a landslide by Biden, Booker will win. This is a Prez race not a midterm, that's why McConnell and Graham and Ernst and Daines are stuck at 45

We need Harrison and Booker in the Senate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,413
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: June 16, 2020, 02:56:29 PM »

I disagree, McConnell beat ALG by 20 pts in a midterm and  beat Lunsford by 6 in a Prez election,  since this is a landslide by Biden, Booker will win. This is a Prez race not a midterm, that's why McConnell and Graham and Ernst and Daines are stuck at 45

We need Harrison and Booker in the Senate

K.

I’m just telling you as someone who lives here that there is literally no chance of this state electing a black progressive left Democrat who among other things supports the Green New Deal. He is simply DOA in this state.

McConnell beat ALG by 15, not 20, in a horrendous midterm year for Democrats (2014). He beat Lunsford even in a presidential year that was pretty much a landslide for Obama (2008), and Biden is unlikely to win that much bigger nationally. And even if he does, Kentucky has just moved farther right since then so it won’t help much. Lunsford’s performance would still probably be pretty much the ceiling for even McGrath. If by some miracle she squeaks out a win, it would be because of McConnell’s personal unpopularity combined with an extremely favorable national climate for Democrats that sees a collapse in Trump support even in states like Kentucky. But even that I don’t think would be enough to save Booker.

Our best chance was in fact neither, it was Rocky Adkins, but sadly he didn’t run.

All I know is that McConnell is stuck at 45 percent in every poll. We will see after primary. I am supporting Espy top for Senate and Jones, whom are underdogs as well.

Trump is not a Politician,  he is a businessman and lucked out being Prez due to Gary Johnson take 3% in WI, MI, PA. The wave will be 2008 again
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