The absentee/early vote thread

[Panda Express]

MSNBC just announced the party registration of the first 4,000 returned absentee ballots in NC:

Democrat 42%
Republican 34%
Unaffiliated 25%
Libertarian <1%

Obviously we don't know exactly who these votes were cast for, but a eight point registration lead has to mean something good for Clinton. And before anyone says "DIXIECRATS!", it was also mentioned that at this point in 2012, Republicans had a 5% lead in this statistic.

I'm ready to project a winner

[Panda Express]

For Colorado, we can't really compare to 2012. We can however, compare it to 2014 (not the best but better than nothing.)

16 days to Election Day 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  48,030 (24,468)
Republicans  36,790 (36,830)
Independent 27,435 (17,191)

TOTAL 113,932 (79,355)

Democrats have increased by about 100%, Independents by 60% and Republicans by 0%

Total turnout up 44%

[Panda Express]

For Colorado, we can't really compare to 2012. We can however, compare it to 2014 (not the best but better than nothing.)

16 days to Election Day 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  48,030 (24,468)
Republicans  36,790 (36,830)
Independent 27,435 (17,191)

TOTAL 113,932 (79,355)

Democrats have increased by about 100%, Independents by 60% and Republicans by 0%

Total turnout up 44%

That's only 4% of the expected vote in CO though.

Let's wait until Nov. 7 when 90% of the ballots are in (there are also some election day voters).

[Panda Express]

Colorado Update


Dems continue to beat the HOLY HELL out of Rethuglicans in early ballot returns

Democrats are up 23,000 ballots. At this point in 2014, Rethuglicans were up by 27,000 ballots. Turnout spiking in Pueblo and Denver counties.

15 days to Election Day 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  117,766 (64,777)
Republicans  94,499 (91,060)
Independent 70,410 (46,404)

TOTAL 286,639 (204,480)

Total turnout up 40%

[Panda Express]

Colorado Daily Update


Less ballots returned yesterday but Dems still expand their lead. Republicans are now running under what they were at this time in 2014 (and that was a mid-term!)


14 days to Election Day 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  166,605 (105,401)
Republicans  141,354 (145,824)
Independent 103,354 (77,285)

TOTAL 416,951 (332,050)

Total turnout up 26%

[Panda Express]

Colorado Daily Update


Another good day for the Dems


13 days to Election Day 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  224,914 (139,401)
Republicans  196,082 (190,235)
Independent 143,866 (102,031)

TOTAL 572,550 (436,278)

Dem turnout up 61%
Rethuglican turnout up 3%
Independent turnout up 41%

Total turnout up 31%

[Panda Express]

Very happy to see that the Reid machine is burying Trump in Nevada. A great parting gift from a great senator.

[Panda Express]

Colorado Daily Update


With about 1/3 of total expected ballots submitted, Dems have increased their ballots submitted from 2014 by about 100,000.


9 days to Election Day 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  331,153 (213,975)
Republicans  300,275 (282,317)
Independent 223,540 (156,893)

TOTAL 866,668 (660,113)

Dem turnout up 55%
Rethuglican turnout up 6%
Independent turnout up 42%

Total turnout up 31%