Why did Gore do so well in the Lower Northeast (RI, CT, NY, NJ)?
Dead Parrot:
Quote from: Calthrina950 on July 10, 2021, 10:43:20 AM
Gore is the last Democrat to have won Monmouth County, which has remained loyally Republican ever since. [...] He lost Ocean County, New Jersey, by just over 1%, a county where every successive Democrat has gotten blown out.
This probably has to do with the Shore counties' large Jewish population. 2000 seems to have been the last election before a big lasting R trend in the Northeastern Jewish vote. Gore was the last Democrat to win places like Lakewood, NJ and Borough Park in Brooklyn, both of which went overwhelmingly for Trump. In Monmouth County towns like Manalapan and Marlboro with sizable Jewish communities, Gore broke 60% of the vote, which no Democrat since then has come close to doing.
Calthrina950:
Quote from: Dead Parrot on July 10, 2021, 07:00:01 PM
Quote from: Calthrina950 on July 10, 2021, 10:43:20 AM
Gore is the last Democrat to have won Monmouth County, which has remained loyally Republican ever since. [...] He lost Ocean County, New Jersey, by just over 1%, a county where every successive Democrat has gotten blown out.
This probably has to do with the Shore counties' large Jewish population. 2000 seems to have been the last election before a big lasting R trend in the Northeastern Jewish vote. Gore was the last Democrat to win places like Lakewood, NJ and Borough Park in Brooklyn, both of which went overwhelmingly for Trump. In Monmouth County towns like Manalapan and Marlboro with sizable Jewish communities, Gore broke 60% of the vote, which no Democrat since then has come close to doing.
Gore's strong performance among Jewish voters, I assume, was thanks in part to Lieberman.
Chips:
Quote from: Teflon Joe. on July 05, 2021, 07:45:23 PM
Gun control and environmentalism. It's the same reason why Gore lost TN, AR, MO and WV. In the 90s gun control and environmentalism became hot button issues and the Mid Atlantic backed both. The NYC/NJ/CT suburbs back gun control.
The Clinton/Gore administration also signed the environmental agreement, the Kyoto Protocol which also was popular in the region.
Schiff for Senate:
Quote from: Dead Parrot on July 06, 2021, 02:00:01 AM
Quote from: Teflon Joe. on July 05, 2021, 07:45:23 PM
Gun control and environmentalism. It's the same reason why Gore lost TN, AR, MO and WV. In the 90s gun control and environmentalism became hot button issues and the Mid Atlantic backed both. The NYC/NJ/CT suburbs back gun control.
The Clinton/Gore administration also signed the environmental agreement, the Kyoto Protocol which also was popular in the region.
But it's not like Dems have softened on gun control and environmentalism relative to the GOP since 2000, and yet they've lost a lot of ground with WWC voters in these states. (And it didn't start with Trump; many of these towns swung substantially to Bush in 2004 and didn't really swing back to Obama in 2008.) This is why I hypothesize that 9/11 may have had some lasting effect, perhaps by reinforcing the GOP's image as the "macho" party and making issues like gun control lose salience.
What he's saying is that environmental issues and gun control are less important issues today than they were in 2000 (though there are still two of the most important issues to me, and the two issues where I am most left-wing). It makes sense in some ways, since Gore was a known environmentalist. Still, overall I feel there might be something else at play here. CT at least should care more about gun control now than it did in 2000 after the Sandy Hook shooting, where first graders were killed, and the GOP declined to offer anything more meaningful or substantial than empty "thoughts and prayers." (Though CT probably voted blue partly because Liebermann was from there.)
darklordoftech:
This might be relevant: https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jewish-voting-record-in-u-s-presidential-elections
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