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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 1004794 times)
Mike Thick
tedbessell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,084


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -8.26

« Reply #25 on: February 12, 2017, 03:24:38 PM »

Populism: 1932 vs. 1992 vs. 1968




Franklin Delano Roosevelt/John Nance Garner (D): 22,821,277 - 43.50% - 314 EV ✓
H. Ross Perot/James Stockdale (I-R): 19,743,821 - 37.63% - 160 EV
George Wallace/Curtis Lemay (AI): 9,901,118 - 18.87% - 64 EV

Closest States:
North Carolina: Roosevelt +0.10% over Wallace
New Mexico: Roosevelt +1.50% over Perot
Michigan: Roosevelt +2.32% over Perot
Wyoming: Roosevelt +2.66% over Perot
Virginia: Perot +3.07% over Wallace
Minnesota: Roosevelt +3.11% over Perot
Delaware: Perot +3.44% over Roosevelt
Maryland: Roosevelt +4.24% over Perot

Ignore Puerto Rico. Unsurprisingly, Perot ran strongest in the states that had grown the most since Roosevelt's election. Roosevelt's best states were in the Great Plains and the Corn Belt, while Wallace (of course) dominated the South (with the notable exception of Florida). The closest states were in the Upper Midwest, the area kind of on the border between the Western States and the Midwest, and in the South where Wallace screwed things up. The election was almost identical to 1992 in terms of the popular vote percentages of the candidates. Wallace outperformed his 1968 electoral total considerably, by flipping South Carolina and Tennessee.
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,084


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -8.26

« Reply #26 on: February 12, 2017, 07:41:56 PM »


Richard Nixon/Spiro Agnew: 47,168,710 - 52.12% - 287 EV
Lyndon Johnson/Hubert Humphrey: Johnson: 43,127,041 - 47.65% - 251 EV
Unpledged Electors: 210,732 - 0.23%

There are tons of razor-thin wins on both sides. Johnson loses his home state by about sixteen points because McGovern cratered so badly there, but if he were to win it he would take the election.

Also, Mississippi is more Republican than D.C. is Democratic Tongue
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,084


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -8.26

« Reply #27 on: April 05, 2017, 01:12:58 PM »

How exactly does Richard Spencer end up on the Presidential ticket? Tongue
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