CT Sen: POLL SHOCK! Quinnipiac sez Dodd trails all candidates (user search)
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  CT Sen: POLL SHOCK! Quinnipiac sez Dodd trails all candidates (search mode)
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Author Topic: CT Sen: POLL SHOCK! Quinnipiac sez Dodd trails all candidates  (Read 7385 times)
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,547


« on: April 02, 2009, 01:49:39 PM »

I'd like to see Chris Murphy as the next Senator from CT.

You dont want that.  Democrats dont want a lot of competitive House seats open in a year like 2010.  A Senate seat will be much easier to get back than a House seat. 
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,547


« Reply #1 on: April 02, 2009, 02:00:46 PM »

You dont want that.  Democrats dont want a lot of competitive House seats open in a year like 2010.  A Senate seat will be much easier to get back than a House seat. 

A Senate seat is about 100 times more valuable than 1 House seat.

I dont know about that.  There are more House seats and once one opens up and falls, it kind of becomes a like a domino rally.  Democrats would have a far better chance at winning back the Connecticut Senate seat than winning back a House seat or two that they would lose if Himes and Murphy both ran.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,547


« Reply #2 on: April 02, 2009, 02:59:41 PM »

There are something like 80 more Democrats in the House right now than Republicans, losing one seat doesn't make any difference.

The Senate is a whole other story with the Republicans trying to filibuster every piece of legislation, Democrats need to get to 62 or 63 Senators to get stuff passed. We can't afford to lose any seats in the Senate.

What if Democrats lose control of the House in trying to get those 62 or 63 seats in the Senate?  If Democrats lose the House, it probably isnt coming back.  If they lose a Senate seat, they will likely get it back. 
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,547


« Reply #3 on: April 02, 2009, 03:28:46 PM »


What if Democrats lose control of the House in trying to get those 62 or 63 seats in the Senate?  If Democrats lose the House, it probably isnt coming back.  If they lose a Senate seat, they will likely get it back. 

If Democrats lose the House, we're going to lose a hell of a lot of Senators, too...

Democrats dont have that many Senators that could lose.  Just Dodd, Bennett, and maybe Reid. 
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,547


« Reply #4 on: April 03, 2009, 01:26:58 AM »


What if Democrats lose control of the House in trying to get those 62 or 63 seats in the Senate?  If Democrats lose the House, it probably isnt coming back.  If they lose a Senate seat, they will likely get it back. 

If Democrats lose the House, we're going to lose a hell of a lot of Senators, too...

Democrats dont have that many Senators that could lose.  Just Dodd, Bennett, and maybe Reid. 

Reid is safe and if Bennet loses it will be to a Democrat, not a Republican.  The only Democratic incumbents I'm worried about are CT (if Dodd doesn't retire) and NY (if there's a bloody primary and Pataki runs).

Amazing how people speak in absolute certainty concerning races in swing states.  Roll Eyes

I also like how the CO seat isn't winnable for a Republican but NY is a possible toss up.

Democrats didnt pick Gillibrand and possibly lose NY-20 so they could lose a Senate seat.  New York is one of the bluest states in the nation.  It would be like a Democrat representing Texas. 
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