It's not certain if those, who voted TR would automatically vote for Taft.
This is assuming they did. Much of the reason Wilson won was because Roosevelt and Taft split the Republican vote. (Much like Nixon's first election in 1968 owed itself in part to Wallace and Humphrey splitting the Democratic vote.)
Well it has to be wondered if many Dixiecrats would vote for Humphrey, "The Happy Warrior". I mean, the Deep South had already ditched the Dems in 1964, and 1960 showed that both Republicans and faithless electors could win Southern states.
It's not certain if those, who voted TR would automatically vote for Taft.
This is assuming they did. Much of the reason Wilson won was because Roosevelt and Taft split the Republican vote. (Much like Nixon's first election in 1968 owed itself in part to Wallace and Humphrey splitting the Democratic vote.)
Well it has to be wondered if many Dixiecrats would vote for Humphrey, "The Happy Warrior". I mean, the Deep South had already ditched the Dems in 1964, and 1960 showed that both Republicans and faithless electors could win Southern states.
Wallace's intervention may even have helped Humphrey.
Had the Wallace vote in Texas gone to Nixon instead, Humphrey could not have carried that state, and of course the five Wallace states would also have gone to Nixon. It is of course conceivable that one or more northern states might have switched the other way (had Wallace voters there chosen Humphrey over Nixon) but by no means certain.
At the beginning of the general election campaign in 1968, the polls looked like this:
Nixon- 42%Humphrey- 29%Wallace- 22%On Election Day, the final popular vote total looked like this:
Nixon- 43.4%Humphrey- 42.7%Wallace- 13.5%Notice that Nixon's total stayed about the same, and as Wallace dropped 8.5%, Humphrey gained 13.7%. This, along with the fact that all the Wallace and Humphrey's combined totals beat Nixon in all the Nixon states, suggests that Humphrey split the Democratic vote, especially in the South.