I could see the upper south being more D than New England in 20 years (user search)
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  I could see the upper south being more D than New England in 20 years (search mode)
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Author Topic: I could see the upper south being more D than New England in 20 years  (Read 3905 times)
Tieteobserver
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« on: April 22, 2014, 09:26:44 AM »

MD is already a very democratic state, perhaps at the same level as MA, VT and RI.

VA could possibly go this way. NC is a different story I guess. The democrats are still making inroads there, and its still a very southern state.

As for New England, I see NH and ME going Republican again. These states were very solidly Republican until not so long ago. Vermont also was, but today it became very liberal.

CT is not a bad place for the GOP too. It was Republican until the 1990s, and seems to have some very reliably Republican pockets left.
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Tieteobserver
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« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2014, 03:58:58 PM »

Unfortunately, the only way I see New England becoming Republican again is by a total change of paradigm. The South would have to become blue again, and the Democrats would have to become the party of the Evangelicals. They would have to somehow adopt a populist discourse in economics, whilst at the same time alienating their coastal supporters. The GOP, in this scenario, would have a very easy time catering to them, with a Libertarian (Classical Liberal) message. Its not the discourse that plays, though. Its the rivalry too. Poor evangelical Southerners would hardly want to vote for the very same party of the Northern elites. Northern rich yuppies, at the same time, don't really want to be mistaken for Southern yokels.

I don't really see this happening though. The GOP has too good of an electorate to get rid of, same for the Dems. If the latter appeal to minorities and to the youth in a country thats increasingly less white and more liberal, the former control have a strong chance of growth within Latinos, besides being in control of the fastest growing areas in the country.
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