Could tomorrow be the biggest polling error since 1948? (user search)
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  Could tomorrow be the biggest polling error since 1948? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Could tomorrow be the biggest polling error since 1948?  (Read 3786 times)
alomas
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« on: November 07, 2016, 12:38:35 PM »
I think Trump's best chance is the unpredictability of his character that will catch many pollster off-guard. Of course it can swing both ways but if someone is trailing in the poll (like Trump) then it is preferable to have bigger margin of uncertainty.

Not to say tomorrow will see a big error, we have to wait and see Smiley
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alomas
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 12:43:38 PM »
That's interesting. I remember exit polls and it showed Romney tied in VA (lost by 4), NH and CO also much more favourable to R than final results. I wasn't surprised that Obama won the election but I was surprised how easily he did that.
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alomas
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 01:07:25 PM »
By the way is he going to be on Fox again this year?
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alomas
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« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2016, 07:53:28 AM »
Quote from: alomas on November 07, 2016, 12:38:35 PM
I think Trump's best chance is the unpredictability of his character that will catch many pollster off-guard.
Smiley
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