Beet
Atlas Star
Posts: 28,975
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« on: October 18, 2020, 10:43:20 AM » |
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This doesn't surprise me at all. IA and OH were never going to ditch Trump, and they won't on election night.
The campaign comes down to the "3 North" and "3 South."
3 North: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan
3 South: Florida, North Carolina, and Arizona
In certain cases the NE-02 and ME-02 could decide as well. Overall, while Biden is leading in a large number of swing states, he is leading narrowly in almost all of them, and his lead is less than his national lead. That means with only a modest drop in his national lead, he could fall underwater in a large number of swing states at the same time.
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