ND-Strategic Research Associates: Cramer +16
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  ND-Strategic Research Associates: Cramer +16
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Author Topic: ND-Strategic Research Associates: Cramer +16  (Read 2741 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: October 22, 2018, 12:32:17 PM »

56/40, with the correct link.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2018, 12:33:45 PM »

I think Heitkamp is down but I really doubt inexperienced firm SRA has conquered the problems of polling North Dakota.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2018, 12:34:39 PM »

Remember when a lot of you people were laughing at me for thinking that Cramer wins by 8?
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Zaybay
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2018, 12:36:39 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2018, 12:41:06 PM by Zaybay »

oh, ok, its back.

Anyway, some interesting tidbits

Trump Approval: 64/33 (31+)

Important Issue: Healthcare at the top at 18%, with Immigration not too far behind at 16%

Senate: Cramer+16

House: Armstrong+21

Heidi Approval: 37/52 (-15)

Cramer Approval: 53/38 (+15)

Party ID: 59R/31D/10I

Who did you vote for?: 59Trump/23Clinton/11Someone Else

There are also the 4 ballot questions
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Perlen vor den Schweinen
kongress
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2018, 12:36:45 PM »

Not only will Quentin Burdick's ghost singlehandedly carry the election for Hentkamp, but there is simply no way Cramer can win with the way his portrait is cropped on the Wikipedia article for this year's election.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2018, 12:43:23 PM »

Nonsense. They didn’t do any polling in Spanish language. Tossup/Tilt R at best.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2018, 12:46:23 PM »

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DavidB.
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2018, 12:46:50 PM »

This is a bit much, but yeah, she's going to lose.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2018, 12:47:22 PM »

Remember when a lot of you people were laughing at me for thinking that Cramer wins by 8?

I remember when I was insane for rating it safe R because of MUH 2012.
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Pyro
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2018, 12:47:52 PM »

If this is any indication, the race appears to be a Blanche.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2018, 12:48:04 PM »

At least legal marijuana is gonna pass.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2018, 12:49:49 PM »

At least legal marijuana is gonna pass.

Q7. Measure number three legalizes the possession of marijuana and provides for the
automatic removal of past marijuana convictions from criminal records in North Dakota. If
the election were held today, would you vote for or against this measure?
If the election were held today, would you vote for or against this measure?
Percent
For 26
Against 65
Don’t know/No opinion 9
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Zaybay
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2018, 12:50:15 PM »

I don't get how Heitkamp gets blanched as ND decisively votes to legalize Marijuana.

Cause its not passing.
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Politician
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2018, 12:53:14 PM »

Safe Republican. The Democrats' only path to a Senate Majority lies through Tennessee or Texas.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2018, 12:53:22 PM »

At least legal marijuana is gonna pass.

Q7. Measure number three legalizes the possession of marijuana and provides for the
automatic removal of past marijuana convictions from criminal records in North Dakota. If
the election were held today, would you vote for or against this measure?
If the election were held today, would you vote for or against this measure?
Percent
For 26
Against 65
Don’t know/No opinion 9

Those numbers are crazy, I would expect something like 57/43 against based on national numbers.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2018, 12:53:57 PM »

At least legal marijuana is gonna pass.

Q7. Measure number three legalizes the possession of marijuana and provides for the
automatic removal of past marijuana convictions from criminal records in North Dakota. If
the election were held today, would you vote for or against this measure?
If the election were held today, would you vote for or against this measure?
Percent
For 26
Against 65
Don’t know/No opinion 9

Those numbers are crazy, I would expect something like 57/43 against based on national numbers.

Well, considering the other numbers this poll has given, are you surprised?
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2018, 12:54:16 PM »

I don't get how Heitkamp gets blanched as ND decisively votes to legalize Marijuana.

Cause its not passing.

Plus ND has been inundated with 20-40 something year old white guys looking for work in the oil field. Plenty of them are probably legalize-Cramer voters.
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Skye
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« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2018, 12:55:39 PM »

I'd be prefer a better pollster, but damn, this one would miss by a lot if Cramer were to lose. I don't think Heitkamp will be able to pull it off.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2018, 01:01:51 PM »

Safe Republican. The Democrats' only path to a Senate Majority lies through Tennessee or Texas.
Good luck with that Tongue
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2018, 01:04:32 PM »

At least legal marijuana is gonna pass.

Q7. Measure number three legalizes the possession of marijuana and provides for the
automatic removal of past marijuana convictions from criminal records in North Dakota. If
the election were held today, would you vote for or against this measure?
If the election were held today, would you vote for or against this measure?
Percent
For 26
Against 65
Don’t know/No opinion 9

Haha, read that wrong.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2018, 01:06:37 PM »

Safe Republican. The Democrats' only path to a Senate Majority lies through Tennessee or Texas.
Good luck with that Tongue

While I still think Dems will only have 50 seats after November, between TN, ND, and TX going Dem I do think TX is currently our best shot to pull a majority (along with winning NV/AZ of course).
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Rhenna
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« Reply #21 on: October 22, 2018, 01:14:25 PM »

Safe R. Sad( Rip queen.
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MycroftCZ
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« Reply #22 on: October 22, 2018, 01:22:58 PM »

Welp, there goes my favorite senator Sad
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #23 on: October 22, 2018, 01:26:25 PM »

Disgusting result, despite all the horrible mistakes she has made ...
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #24 on: October 22, 2018, 01:28:11 PM »

It's okay Dems. Goal should be to at least hold steady or even gain a seat at this point (which is remarkable given the map).
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