The absentee/early vote thread

[izixs]

Just got back from early voting. Was busier than usual, but not as crazy as some pics I've seen. Demographics resembled the county (mostly white, a bit older leaning). No obvious gender imbalance.

[izixs]

If those numbers are right, then turnout is already about half of the total vote from 2004 in Florida and not far behind 2008 and 2012.

[izixs]

I'm watching MSNBC and the fellow on there is talking about their poll. William and Mary I think he said was behind it.

[izixs]

The bottom line stated for early voters had Clinton at 53%. Combined with likely voters she drops to 48% to 40%.

[izixs]

If these numbers are true, then yes, clearly a movement of Cubans towards Clinton here. But I wonder if ground game is a factor as well, and if so, how much?