The absentee/early vote thread (user search)
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  The absentee/early vote thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The absentee/early vote thread  (Read 172945 times)
henster
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,022
« on: October 30, 2016, 08:02:47 PM »
Black turnout down across the board pretty much everywhere, is nobody going to talk about this?
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2016, 08:08:07 PM »
I'm hearing blacks made up 22% of EV in NC compared to 29% in NC, 100K less in FL, big declines in AV requests in SE VA, declines in MI.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2016, 10:50:33 PM »
Have a bad feeling about NC, feels eerily like Hagan v. Tillis there. She led consistely in polls, EV looked 'good' and she fell short because of lackluster turnout notably with blacks.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2016, 11:03:17 PM »
« Edited: October 30, 2016, 11:04:59 PM by henster »
Interesting note from McDonald on NC.

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No evidence of depressed R enthusiasm.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2016, 10:11:29 PM »
I can't see how anyone spins this, very ugly #'s in FL.

https://twitter.com/electionsmith/status/793278422415872000
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2016, 10:16:19 PM »
She is going to have really kill it with Hispanics like 70-75, she is clearly doing worse with whites across all polls in FL. Drop in black turnout leaves no room for error.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2016, 11:35:10 PM »
A lot of people dismissed the massive drop in black turnout in the Dem primary but it looks like its not a fluke.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2016, 11:44:16 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 31, 2016, 11:38:28 PM
Quote from: henster on October 31, 2016, 11:35:10 PM
A lot of people dismissed the massive drop in black turnout in the Dem primary but it looks like its not a fluke.

Like how you dismissed Hillary's lead in the PA poll but celebrated McGinty's lead in the same poll? I guess we all have our blind spots...

Look I am fine with HC win as long as we get Senate and flip SCOTUS and I will continue to believe we could've done better with another nominee. We could've flipped the House with Biden.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2016, 12:02:13 AM »
Really feel like she should've went for a black VP, Deval Patrick, Anthony Foxx, Cory Booker to name a few. Kaine is not doing anything for her and I do think she'd carry VA easily with or without him, definitely a missed opportunity.
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2016, 12:20:32 AM »
SEPTA now on strike could pose problems on ED in PA if people can't get to polls. Incredibly reckless on unions part a lot of them are so shortsighted when it comes to things like this.

https://twitter.com/pkcapitol/status/792730396882571265
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2016, 12:27:29 AM »
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on November 01, 2016, 12:25:51 AM
this must be a threat....otherwise, i wish them good luck with their new republican overlords.

They are definitely playing hardball, and I hear this is mainly about bathroom breaks?
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henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022
« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2016, 05:27:44 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2016, 05:31:09 PM by henster »
So Hillary is personally headed to Detroit not a surrogate on Fri. for EV rally.
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