The absentee/early vote thread

[henster]

I'm hearing blacks made up 22% of EV in NC compared to 29% in NC, 100K less in FL, big declines in AV requests in SE VA, declines in MI.

[swf541]

black turnout isn't soooo extremely down.....from a high point....like everbody else's turnout is also up.

Stop feeding him, he's just emerged from his hole. He's one of the three-four posters who disappear when everything is great for Clinton then awakens to stalk us when things get even slightly wonky with peals of "I told you so!!!" Only to disappear.

Pretty much this

[The Other Castro]

Looks like Ralston was fearmongering a bit earlier:

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports  2m2 minutes ago
25,676 had voted in Clark by 6 PM. Will be relatively low, but raw votes higher than 2012.

[swf541]

Looks like Ralston was fearmongering a bit earlier:

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports  2m2 minutes ago
25,676 had voted in Clark by 6 PM. Will be relatively low, but raw votes higher than 2012.

Thats not bad at all vs 2012

[ApatheticAustrian]

ralston is criticizing the morning vote on a daily basis now.

seems like the ihabitants of NV prefer voting late in the day.

[Speed of Sound]

Put a bow on NV; it's wrapped up.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Looks like Ralston was fearmongering a bit earlier:

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports  2m2 minutes ago
25,676 had voted in Clark by 6 PM. Will be relatively low, but raw votes higher than 2012.

Thats not bad at all vs 2012

Thats almost 4k more votes than this day in 2012.

[tinman64]

I'll bet NV voters prefer voting later in the day because it's so dern hot there.

[KingSweden]

I'll bet NV voters prefer voting later in the day because it's so dern hot there.

And Vegas is... not a morning town

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I'll bet NV voters prefer voting later in the day because it's so dern hot there.

And Vegas is... not a morning town

The only good thing about Vegas.

[NOVA Green]

Trump is telling people not to vote by mail in Colorado:

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/10/30/politics/donald-trump-write-in-ballots/index.html

From that story:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Isn't the idea to sow confusion on the other side?

Agreed...

As I posted earlier on the thread, attacking Vote-by-Mail in Colorado is a complete non-starter when it comes to expanding the Party base.

Colorado, like most other states that have shifted predominately VbM, actually agree with and prefer the convenience and option to not only be able to vote early, but also not have to deal with standing in long lines on election day.

Attacking VbM is plain stupid, and will appear as such to a ton of Republican and Republican-Leaning Indies in the suburbs of Denver, Fort Collins, and Colorado Springs.

There are very few Coloradans that believe that VbM is somehow "rigging the system", including the vast majority of voters of all parties that see it as not only more convenient but also a way to save an hour or two standing out in long lines come election day.

Even Republicans that live out in remote rural areas in the Mountains, Western Foothills of the Rockey's, and roll onto the flat high plains where ranchers and farmers predominate, find this system much more convenient, than the previous voting system.

[libertpaulian]

I'm hearing blacks made up 22% of EV in NC compared to 29% in NC, 100K less in FL, big declines in AV requests in SE VA, declines in MI.

If Latino turnout is up in FL, however, it doesn't matter what black turnout is.

[Holmes]

Also this was a three day weekend in Nevada. Anyone who had plans to vote this weekend very likely had already done it on Friday or Saturday, so this Sunday was just like another day. Still higher turnout than 2012, so it's fine.

[ApatheticAustrian]

big souls to the polls outturn in .....OHIO.


http://www.wtol.com/story/33517645/souls-to-the-polls-a-rousing-success-9-days-from-election
http://fox8.com/2016/10/30/souls-to-the-polls-campaign-brings-big-turnout-for-early-voting/

[OneJ]

big souls to the polls outturn in .....OHIO.


http://www.wtol.com/story/33517645/souls-to-the-polls-a-rousing-success-9-days-from-election
http://fox8.com/2016/10/30/souls-to-the-polls-campaign-brings-big-turnout-for-early-voting/

Awesome

[Antonio the Sixth]

What about NC? This is where SttP was supposed to make all the difference, right?

[Dr. Arch]

What about NC? This is where SttP was supposed to make all the difference, right?

NC hasn't updated at http://www.electproject.org/early_2016. Does anyone have any updates on NC?

[ApatheticAustrian]

if the general assumptions about NC (strong in clinton's direction) are right, i project a disappointing NC sttp-result since alle other groups are way up and afro-americans were reaaaaaaally strong in 2012.

[Dr. Arch]

On an interesting note, Louisiana is already at 102% of their total 2012 returns, with D's leading by about 5%, not that I think that means anything in particular for this state.

[Antonio the Sixth]

if the general assumptions about NC (strong in clinton's direction) are right, i project a disappointing NC sttp-result since alle other groups are way up and afro-americans were reaaaaaaally strong in 2012.

But that's the point. Today was the day they were expected to catch up.

[Dr. Arch]

if the general assumptions about NC (strong in clinton's direction) are right, i project a disappointing NC sttp-result since alle other groups are way up and afro-americans were reaaaaaaally strong in 2012.

But that's the point. Today was the day they were expected to catch up.

Remember that the big swing in NC will be in the triangle area with Educated Whites. Don't expect the African American vote to be the sole carrier of it.

[Antonio the Sixth]

if the general assumptions about NC (strong in clinton's direction) are right, i project a disappointing NC sttp-result since alle other groups are way up and afro-americans were reaaaaaaally strong in 2012.

But that's the point. Today was the day they were expected to catch up.

Remember that the big swing in NC will be in the triangle area with Educated Whites. Don't expect the African American vote to be the sole carrier of it.

It's not just about winning for me here, tbh. If African-American stays down, it will have meant that the GOP's disgusting voter suppression efforts actually worked. That would be awful regardless of the outcome.

[Speed of Sound]

if the general assumptions about NC (strong in clinton's direction) are right, i project a disappointing NC sttp-result since alle other groups are way up and afro-americans were reaaaaaaally strong in 2012.

But that's the point. Today was the day they were expected to catch up.

Remember that the big swing in NC will be in the triangle area with Educated Whites. Don't expect the African American vote to be the sole carrier of it.

Yeah, if college-educated whites were flipping en masse (they are), Latinx were surging (they are), aaannnddd Black #s stayed like in 08/12 (they aren't), this would be a complete landslide. Instead, Black vote is being replaced by the other two and producing ~2012 numbers for Clinton so far.

[Dr. Arch]

if the general assumptions about NC (strong in clinton's direction) are right, i project a disappointing NC sttp-result since alle other groups are way up and afro-americans were reaaaaaaally strong in 2012.

But that's the point. Today was the day they were expected to catch up.

Remember that the big swing in NC will be in the triangle area with Educated Whites. Don't expect the African American vote to be the sole carrier of it.

It's not just about winning for me here, tbh. If African-American stays down, it will have meant that the GOP's disgusting voter suppression efforts actually worked. That would be awful regardless of the outcome.

These communities have been fighting this BS for hundreds of years. Don't expect them to give up easily even if they're temporarily slowed down

[OneJ]

Guys, remember that Hurricane Matthew hit parts of North Carolina hard, so don't worry about AA turnout too much. Have faith that it will pick back up.