PPP: Obama leads every Republican, except Huckabee

[Tender Branson]

Obama vs. Generic Republican: 47-47

Obama vs. Huckabee: 44-47
Obama vs. Romney: 46-43
Obama vs. Gingrich: 47-43
Obama vs. Palin: 49-43
Obama vs. Beck: 48-39

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

47-49

Who did you vote for President in 2008?

Obama: 47%
McCain: 46%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_917.pdf

[RIP Robert H Bork]

It's nice to see Mike ahead of everyone else, though he may not be leading given that the last question has Obama up only 47-46 instead of 53-46. Of course, even if 53% of those surveyed did vote for Obama, that doesn't guarantee that he'd be leading now.

[exopolitician]

lol okay.

[tpfkaw]

The Incredible Huck is unelectable, no matter what the numbers in 2010 say.

[Associate Justice PiT]

The Incredible Huck is unelectable, no matter what the numbers in 2010 say.

     Back in 2008, Huckabee surged to victory in Iowa & then his numbers fell when his rivals started pounding away at him. He's a very charismatic person, but I expect that he has too much baggage to be able to win the big prize.

[Dgov]

Here's a Bombshell in that poll (Crosstabs-based data here), But Obama is only winning 48% of the Hispanic vote to Huckabee's 43% in this match-up.  Which is of registered voters.

And PPP's latest polls seem to show a big increase in Obama favorably with the Elderly and the Young, as they approve of him by 27 and 15, respectively, while posting underwater numbers with the 34-65 year-olds.  This contradicts Gallup, which has a fairly linear negative Obama approval progression as age increases.

[Eraserhead]

I'll take PPP over Gallup, personally.

Anyway, Beck gets 39%? That is quite disturbing.

[You kip if you want to...]

Anyway, Beck gets 39%? That is quite disturbing.

I thought that. Even Chris Christie only got 31% in August...

[Dgov]

Anyway, Beck gets 39%? That is quite disturbing.

I thought that. Even Chris Christie only got 31% in August...

Probably a profile thing.  Beck is better known to Americans than Christie is, despite the fact that Christie would be a much better candidate.

[Eraserhead]

Anyway, Beck gets 39%? That is quite disturbing.

I thought that. Even Chris Christie only got 31% in August...

Probably a profile thing.  Beck is better known to Americans than Christie is, despite the fact that Christie would be a much better candidate.

Yeah, I doubt many people outside of the northeast know who Christie is.

[You kip if you want to...]

Anyway, Beck gets 39%? That is quite disturbing.

I thought that. Even Chris Christie only got 31% in August...

Probably a profile thing.  Beck is better known to Americans than Christie is, despite the fact that Christie would be a much better candidate.

Yeah, I doubt many people outside of the northeast know who Christie is.

Even so, i'd like to think there'd be more people on the right or right-leaning moderates who'd say "neither" to Obama Vs Beck in an opinion poll.

[Mr. Morden]

favorable/unfavorable #s among all voters:

Gingrich 30/50%
Huckabee 35/32%
Palin 38/52%
Romney 33/35%

favorable/unfavorable #s among Republicans:

Gingrich 54/23%
Huckabee 56/14%
Palin 69/18%
Romney 56/20%

[memphis]

"Who did you vote for President in 2008?

Obama: 47%
McCain: 46%"

Are people lying or is it a bad sample or both?

[Mr. Morden]

"Who did you vote for President in 2008?

Obama: 47%
McCain: 46%"

Are people lying or is it a bad sample or both?

People lie all the time on questions like that.  Six months into 1993, the %age of people who admitted in polls that they voted for Bill Clinton was notably down from the real #, because he was unpopular.  When the president is unpopular, people don't admit to voting for him, even in an anonymous poll.

[tpfkaw]

"Who did you vote for President in 2008?

Obama: 47%
McCain: 46%"

Are people lying or is it a bad sample or both?

People lie all the time on questions like that.  Six months into 1993, the %age of people who admitted in polls that they voted for Bill Clinton was notably down from the real #, because he was unpopular.  When the president is unpopular, people don't admit to voting for him, even in an anonymous poll.

Exhibit A: My mother claims to have voted for Ralph Nader in 2000.  I could have sworn she voted for George Bush at the time.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

"Who did you vote for President in 2008?

Obama: 47%
McCain: 46%"

Are people lying or is it a bad sample or both?

People lie all the time on questions like that.  Six months into 1993, the %age of people who admitted in polls that they voted for Bill Clinton was notably down from the real #, because he was unpopular.  When the president is unpopular, people don't admit to voting for him, even in an anonymous poll.

Exhibit A: My mother claims to have voted for Ralph Nader in 2000.  I could have sworn she voted for George Bush at the time.

Well, it's easy for people who did vote in the past to not get polled (died, not likely voter, and so on). Of course some people lie. The 2004 exit poll had 43% who claimed they voted for Bush in 2000 (versus 37% for Gore). That's 52.5 million out of the 122 million 2004 voters. Bush only got 50.5 in 2000. Assuming that every single Bush 2000 voter voted in 2004, it shouldn't have been more than 41.5%.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

"Who did you vote for President in 2008?

Obama: 47%
McCain: 46%"

Are people lying or is it a bad sample or both?

People lie all the time on questions like that.  Six months into 1993, the %age of people who admitted in polls that they voted for Bill Clinton was notably down from the real #, because he was unpopular.  When the president is unpopular, people don't admit to voting for him, even in an anonymous poll.

Ah, so that's why. I wouldn't worry about that question, then.

[memphis]

"Who did you vote for President in 2008?

Obama: 47%
McCain: 46%"

Are people lying or is it a bad sample or both?

People lie all the time on questions like that.  Six months into 1993, the %age of people who admitted in polls that they voted for Bill Clinton was notably down from the real #, because he was unpopular.  When the president is unpopular, people don't admit to voting for him, even in an anonymous poll.

Exhibit A: My mother claims to have voted for Ralph Nader in 2000.  I could have sworn she voted for George Bush at the time.

Given that a vote for Nader was a vote for Bush, the story works.

[minionofmidas]

"Who did you vote for President in 2008?

Obama: 47%
McCain: 46%"

Are people lying or is it a bad sample or both?

People lie in polls. That is why questions such as this one are usually included - though the answers are not always published.