He wouldn't beat Scott by double digits, but I'm not too worried about him losing to Scott either, who barely scraped by twice, both in incredibly good years for Republicans. Democrats should, of course, put some attention into this race, but there are far more worrisome seats.
Let's not underestimate Scott. His 2014 race was incredibly though, and he overcame double digit deficits to win in the end. And most people here thought Crist was going to win.
Challenging an incumbent in a (probably) D-leaning year is a much steeper hill to climb than running as an incumbent in an R-leaning year.